Basingstoke Town vs Malvern Town: result 4-1 and analysis
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Charters Community Stadium, Winchester, Hampshire
Full time
What was the result of Basingstoke Town vs Malvern Town?
Basingstoke Town won 4-1 on October 10, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 45′613431Basingstoke Town
- 53′S. ArmsworthBasingstoke Town
- 74′677146Malvern Town
- 83′Jeremiah Okine-PetersBasingstoke Town
- 90′?Basingstoke Town
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Basingstoke Town win at 49%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 4-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Basingstoke Town have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Malvern Town have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Uxbridge(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Poole Town(away) | 0-1 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Gosport Borough(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gloucester City(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 8, 2026 | AFC Stoneham(away) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Bath City(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Mickleover Sports(away) | 1-2 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Gloucester City(home) | 5-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Chertsey Town(away) | 0-5 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Redditch United(away) | 0-4 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Basingstoke Town score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Malvern Town score 1.3 and concede 2.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Basingstoke Town | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Malvern Town | 1.3 | 2.6 | 1 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Basingstoke Town sit 14th in Non League Premier - Southern South (12 points from 11 matches) and Malvern Town sit 22nd (8 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Basingstoke Town | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 21 | 12 |
| 22 | Malvern Town | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 31 | 8 |
A question about Basingstoke Town vs Malvern Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Taunton Town1-2Hanwell Town
- Oct 10, 2026Frome Town1-1Sholing
- Oct 10, 2026Uxbridge1-0Evesham United
- Oct 10, 2026Chertsey Town2-2Chippenham Town
- Oct 10, 2026Chichester City3-1Plymouth Parkway
- Oct 10, 2026Poole Town1-0Bracknell Town
- Oct 10, 2026Wimborne Town6-3Havant & Wville
- Oct 10, 2026Yate Town0-3Berkhamsted