Where and when is Basingstoke Town vs Malvern Town played?

Basingstoke Town vs Malvern Town is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Charters Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Basingstoke Town vs Malvern Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Charters Community Stadium, Winchester, Hampshire

Basingstoke Town

Malvern Town

The Footlab model makes Basingstoke Town the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Malvern Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Basingstoke Town vs Malvern Town?

A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Basingstoke Town (1,716) and Malvern Town (1,789).

Basingstoke Town win38 %

Draw25 %

Malvern Town win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Basingstoke Town have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Malvern Town have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Basingstoke Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Bath City(home)	1-0	Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026	Poole Town(away)	2-0	Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026	Hanwell Town(away)	1-2	Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026	Evesham United(home)	2-4	Non League Premier - Southern South
Apr 25, 2026	Hanwell Town(away)	1-2	Non League Premier - Southern South

Malvern Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Wimborne Town(home)	0-3	Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026	Bracknell Town(away)	0-0	Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026	Taunton Town(away)	2-5	Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026	Hanwell Town(home)	2-2	Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 1, 2026	Rushall Olympic(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Basingstoke Town score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Malvern Town score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Basingstoke Town	1.7	1.7	4	9/15	10/15
Malvern Town	1.9	1.8	4	8/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Basingstoke Town sit 10th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Malvern Town sit 22nd (2 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Basingstoke Town	4	2	0	2	6	6	6
22	Malvern Town	4	0	2	2	4	10	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Basingstoke Town vs Malvern Town?: The Footlab model makes Basingstoke Town the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Malvern Town.
Where and when is Basingstoke Town vs Malvern Town played?: Basingstoke Town vs Malvern Town is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Charters Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.