Frome Town vs Sholing: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)AlderSmith Stadium, Frome, Somerset
The Footlab model makes Frome Town the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Sholing. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Frome Town vs Sholing?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Frome Town (1,877) and Sholing (1,802).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Frome Town have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Sholing have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gosport Borough(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Havant & Wville(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Evesham United(away) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wimborne Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Weymouth(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chertsey Town(home) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Poole Town(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bath City(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Frome Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Sholing win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | Frome Town 0-3 Sholing | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Sholing 1-1 Frome Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Frome Town 2-3 Sholing | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Sholing 3-2 Frome Town | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Feb 12, 2022 | Sholing 0-1 Frome Town | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Oct 16, 2021 | Frome Town 3-2 Sholing | Non League Div One - Southern South |
How many goals should we expect?
Frome Town score 1.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sholing score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frome Town | 1.8 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Sholing | 1.3 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Frome Town sit 7th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Sholing sit 17th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Frome Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| 17 | Sholing | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Frome Town vs Sholing?
- The Footlab model makes Frome Town the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Sholing.
- Where and when is Frome Town vs Sholing played?
- Frome Town vs Sholing is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at AlderSmith Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Taunton TownvsHanwell Town
- Oct 10, 2026UxbridgevsEvesham United
- Oct 10, 2026Basingstoke TownvsMalvern Town
- Oct 10, 2026Chertsey TownvsChippenham Town
- Oct 10, 2026Chichester CityvsPlymouth Parkway
- Oct 10, 2026Poole TownvsBracknell Town
- Oct 10, 2026Wimborne TownvsHavant & Wville
- Oct 10, 2026Yate TownvsBerkhamsted