Chievo vs Club Milano: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 3Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona
The Footlab model makes Chievo the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Club Milano. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chievo vs Club Milano?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Chievo (1,785) and Club Milano (1,713).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chievo have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Club Milano have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | USD Casatese(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| May 10, 2026 | Milan II(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| May 3, 2026 | Pavia(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Leon Monza e Brianza(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Castellanzese(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Asti(home) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sanremese(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | NovaRomentin(home) | 6-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Cairese(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Biellese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Chievo win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Club Milano win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | Club Milano 2-1 Chievo | Serie D - Girone B |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Chievo 2-1 Club Milano | Serie D - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Chievo score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Club Milano score 1.6 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Club Milano | 1.6 | 1.6 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Chievo | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 52 | 43 | 60 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chievo vs Club Milano?
- The Footlab model makes Chievo the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Club Milano.
- Where and when is Chievo vs Club Milano played?
- Chievo vs Club Milano is played on September 16, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, in the Serie D - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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