Where and when is Real Calepina vs Caldiero Terme played?

Real Calepina vs Caldiero Terme is played on September 16, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo Comunale Libico, in the Serie D - Girone B.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Real Calepina vs Caldiero Terme: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 3Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo Comunale Libico, Grumello del Monte

Real Calepina

Caldiero Terme

The Footlab model makes Caldiero Terme the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Real Calepina. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Calepina vs Caldiero Terme?

A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Real Calepina (1,689) and Caldiero Terme (1,708).

Real Calepina win34 %

Draw28 %

Caldiero Terme win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Calepina have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Caldiero Terme have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Calepina
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Scanzorosciate(home)	1-1	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 26, 2026	Sondrio(away)	1-5	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 19, 2026	Folgore Caratese(away)	1-1	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 12, 2026	Breno(home)	1-1	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 8, 2026	Milan II(home)	1-0	Serie D - Girone B

Caldiero Terme
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Varesina(home)	2-2	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 26, 2026	Vogherese(away)	6-0	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 19, 2026	Villa Valle(home)	1-1	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 12, 2026	Sondrio(away)	1-1	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 2, 2026	Brusaporto(home)	1-2	Serie D - Girone B

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Real Calepina win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Caldiero Terme win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 22, 2026	Caldiero Terme 3-1 Real Calepina	Serie D - Girone B
Nov 9, 2025	Real Calepina 1-1 Caldiero Terme	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 21, 2024	Real Calepina 0-1 Caldiero Terme	Serie D - Girone B
Dec 10, 2023	Caldiero Terme 0-0 Real Calepina	Serie D - Girone B

Last archived meeting: Caldiero Terme vs Real Calepina on Mar 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Real Calepina score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Caldiero Terme score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Real Calepina	1.1	1.2	5	8/15	5/15
Caldiero Terme	1.8	1.5	2	11/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Real Calepina sit 12th in Serie D - Girone B (42 points from 34 matches) and Caldiero Terme sit 11th (45 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Caldiero Terme	34	10	15	9	50	40	45
12	Real Calepina	34	11	9	14	42	47	42

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Calepina vs Caldiero Terme?: The Footlab model makes Caldiero Terme the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Real Calepina.
Where and when is Real Calepina vs Caldiero Terme played?: Real Calepina vs Caldiero Terme is played on September 16, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo Comunale Libico, in the Serie D - Girone B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.