Chornomorets vs Bukovyna: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on June 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Chornomorets, Odesa
The Footlab AI model makes Bukovyna the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Chornomorets. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,606 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chornomorets vs Bukovyna?
Bukovyna starts as the favourite with a 125-point Elo edge (1,931 vs 1,805).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chornomorets vs Bukovyna
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chornomorets
4-2-3-1- 99C. Mba
- 11K. Popov
- 18G. Robakidze
- 13V. Faraseenko
- 10A. Avagimyan
- 30M. Jobe
- 24M. Jarju
- 27O. Pushkarev
- 74M. Farina
- 60M. Melnychenko
- 12C. Aniagboso
Bukovyna
4-1-4-1- 7O. Kozhushko
- 44V. Vitenchuk
- 20M. Zaderaka
- 11V. Dakhnovskyi
- 25V. Grusha
- 97O. Ilyin
- 95P. Stasyuk
- 24A. Busko
- 5V. Pryymak
- 3M. Bezuglyi
- 94H. Penkov
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 02:59 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chornomorets have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Bukovyna have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Zorya Luhansk(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Obolon'-Brovar(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Livyi Bereh(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kudrivka(away) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Polessya(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Zimbru(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Chornomorets wins, 0 draws, 1 Bukovyna win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Bukovyna 1-3 Chornomorets | Persha Liga |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Chornomorets 1-2 Bukovyna | Persha Liga |
| Aug 23, 2014 | Bukovyna 0-4 Chornomorets | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Bukovyna vs Chornomorets on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chornomorets score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Bukovyna score 1.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chornomorets | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Bukovyna | 1.2 | 1.0 | 8 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chornomorets sit 14th in Premier League (5 points from 8 matches) and Bukovyna sit 10th (8 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bukovyna | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 8 |
| 14 | Chornomorets | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 5 |
A question about Chornomorets vs Bukovyna?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chornomorets vs Bukovyna?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bukovyna the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Chornomorets.
- Where and when is Chornomorets vs Bukovyna played?
- Chornomorets vs Bukovyna is played on June 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Chornomorets, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.