Dynamo Kyiv vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on June 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Dynamo im. Valeriy Lobanovskyi, Kyiv
The Footlab model makes Dynamo Kyiv the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Metalist 1925 Kharkiv. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dynamo Kyiv vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv?
Dynamo Kyiv starts as the favourite with a 161-point Elo edge (2,013 vs 1,852).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dynamo Kyiv have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Metalist 1925 Kharkiv have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Qarabag(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Veres Rivne(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Qarabag(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | PAOK(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Polessya(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Livyi Bereh(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Veres Rivne(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 22, 2026 | FC Schalke 04(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Dynamo Kyiv win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 1-0 Dynamo Kyiv | Premier League |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Dynamo Kyiv 1-1 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | Premier League |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 2-4 Dynamo Kyiv | Premier League |
| Dec 7, 2023 | Dynamo Kyiv 4-2 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | Premier League |
| Jun 4, 2023 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 1-1 Dynamo Kyiv | Premier League |
| Nov 26, 2022 | Dynamo Kyiv 0-0 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Dynamo Kyiv on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dynamo Kyiv score 1.6 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Metalist 1925 Kharkiv score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dynamo Kyiv | 1.6 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dynamo Kyiv sit 4th in Premier League (6 points from 2 matches) and Metalist 1925 Kharkiv sit 9th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Dynamo Kyiv | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dynamo Kyiv vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv?
- The Footlab model makes Dynamo Kyiv the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Metalist 1925 Kharkiv.
- Where and when is Dynamo Kyiv vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv played?
- Dynamo Kyiv vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv is played on June 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Dynamo im. Valeriy Lobanovskyi, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.