Karpaty vs Obolon'-Brovar: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on June 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Ukraina, Lviv
The Footlab model makes Karpaty the favourite at 60%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Obolon'-Brovar. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karpaty vs Obolon'-Brovar?
Karpaty starts as the favourite with a 211-point Elo edge (1,906 vs 1,695).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karpaty have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Obolon'-Brovar have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Obolon'-Brovar(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bukovyna(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | LNZ Cherkasy(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kryvbas KR(away) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Veres Rivne(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Karpaty(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kudrivka(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bukovyna(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Kudrivka(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Karpaty win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Obolon'-Brovar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Karpaty 2-0 Obolon'-Brovar | Cup |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Karpaty 4-0 Obolon'-Brovar | Premier League |
| Sep 22, 2025 | Obolon'-Brovar 0-2 Karpaty | Premier League |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Obolon'-Brovar 2-2 Karpaty | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Karpaty 1-0 Obolon'-Brovar | Premier League |
| May 27, 2023 | Karpaty 1-1 Obolon'-Brovar | Persha Liga |
Last archived meeting: Karpaty vs Obolon'-Brovar on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Karpaty score 2.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Obolon'-Brovar score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karpaty | 2.0 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Obolon'-Brovar | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karpaty sit 1st in Premier League (9 points from 3 matches) and Obolon'-Brovar sit 10th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karpaty | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Obolon'-Brovar | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karpaty vs Obolon'-Brovar?
- The Footlab model makes Karpaty the favourite at 60%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Obolon'-Brovar.
- Where and when is Karpaty vs Obolon'-Brovar played?
- Karpaty vs Obolon'-Brovar is played on June 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Ukraina, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.