Kryvbas KR vs Shakhtar Donetsk: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on June 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Hirnyk, Kryvyi Rih
The Footlab AI model makes Shakhtar Donetsk the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Kryvbas KR. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,748 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kryvbas KR vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
Shakhtar Donetsk starts as the favourite with a 265-point Elo edge (2,195 vs 1,930).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kryvbas KR vs Shakhtar Donetsk
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kryvbas KR
4-1-4-1- 9S. Satchwell
- 8Y. Shevchenko
- 6D. Pidgurskyi
- 17R. Nawi
- 21Oleksandr Kamenskyi
- 18B. Lin
- 22João Machado
- 16Thiago Isabel Nascimento Borges
- 4V. Vilivald
- 5V. Kulbachuk
- 12O. Kemkin
Shakhtar Donetsk
4-1-4-1- 49Luca Meirelles
- 8D. Kryskiv
- 6Marlon Gomes
- 30Alisson Santana
- 29E. Nazaryna
- 68P. Obah
- 5V. Bondar
- 17Vinícius Tobias
- 20O. Karavaev
- 28A. Matturro
- 31D. Riznyk
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 08:32 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kryvbas KR have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Shakhtar Donetsk have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | LNZ Cherkasy(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Polessya(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Olimpiya Savyntsi(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | AEK Athens FC(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Veres Rivne(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Kryvbas KR(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | LNZ Cherkasy(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Kryvbas KR wins, 2 draws, 4 Shakhtar Donetsk wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk 3-0 Kryvbas KR | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Kryvbas KR 2-3 Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier League |
| Dec 1, 2025 | Shakhtar Donetsk 2-2 Kryvbas KR | Premier League |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Kryvbas KR 1-2 Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier League |
| Mar 6, 2025 | Shakhtar Donetsk 1-1 Kryvbas KR | Premier League |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Shakhtar Donetsk 5-2 Kryvbas KR | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kryvbas KR on Oct 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kryvbas KR score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Shakhtar Donetsk score 2.1 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kryvbas KR | 1.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 2.1 | 0.5 | 9 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kryvbas KR sit 16th in Premier League (5 points from 7 matches) and Shakhtar Donetsk sit 1st (24 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
| 16 | Kryvbas KR | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 5 |
A question about Kryvbas KR vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kryvbas KR vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
- The Footlab AI model makes Shakhtar Donetsk the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Kryvbas KR.
- Where and when is Kryvbas KR vs Shakhtar Donetsk played?
- Kryvbas KR vs Shakhtar Donetsk is played on June 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Hirnyk, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.