Chornomorets vs Kryvbas KR: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Stadion Chornomorets, Odesa
The Footlab model makes Kryvbas KR the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Chornomorets. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chornomorets vs Kryvbas KR?
Kryvbas KR starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,861 vs 1,745).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chornomorets have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Kryvbas KR have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vilkhivtsi(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | LNZ Cherkasy(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Polessya(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Nyva Vinnytsya(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rokyta(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Livyi Bereh(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Zorya Luhansk(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Karpaty(home) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Oleksandria(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Chornomorets win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Kryvbas KR win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | Chornomorets 1-3 Kryvbas KR | Premier League |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Kryvbas KR 1-0 Chornomorets | Premier League |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Chornomorets 1-2 Kryvbas KR | Premier League |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Kryvbas KR 1-0 Chornomorets | Premier League |
| Sep 27, 2023 | Chornomorets 2-1 Kryvbas KR | Cup |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Kryvbas KR 2-3 Chornomorets | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Chornomorets vs Kryvbas KR on Dec 7, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Chornomorets score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kryvbas KR score 2.0 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chornomorets | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Kryvbas KR | 2.0 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chornomorets sit 15th in Premier League (0 points from 2 matches) and Kryvbas KR sit 7th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Kryvbas KR | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 15 | Chornomorets | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chornomorets vs Kryvbas KR?
- The Footlab model makes Kryvbas KR the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Chornomorets.
- Where and when is Chornomorets vs Kryvbas KR played?
- Chornomorets vs Kryvbas KR is played on August 30, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Stadion Chornomorets, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.