Bukovyna vs Chornomorets: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Bukovyna, Chernivtsi
The Footlab AI model makes Bukovyna the favourite at 59%, against 26% for a draw and 15% for Chornomorets. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bukovyna vs Chornomorets?
Bukovyna starts as the favourite with a 125-point Elo edge (1,930 vs 1,805).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bukovyna vs Chornomorets
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bukovyna
4-1-4-1- 7O. Kozhushko
- 44V. Vitenchuk
- 20M. Zaderaka
- 11V. Dakhnovskyi
- 25V. Grusha
- 97O. Ilyin
- 95P. Stasyuk
- 24A. Busko
- 2D. Karas
- 5V. Pryymak
- 94H. Penkov
Chornomorets
4-2-3-1- 70J. Yoka
- 11K. Popov
- 18G. Robakidze
- 13V. Faraseenko
- 30M. Jobe
- 19M. Kogut
- 24M. Jarju
- 27O. Pushkarev
- 74M. Farina
- 21V. Klymenko
- 12C. Aniagboso
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 06:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bukovyna have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Chornomorets have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Polessya(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Zimbru(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | LNZ Cherkasy(home) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Obolon'-Brovar(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Livyi Bereh(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Kryvbas KR(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Bukovyna win, 0 draws, 2 Chornomorets wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Bukovyna 1-3 Chornomorets | Persha Liga |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Chornomorets 1-2 Bukovyna | Persha Liga |
| Aug 23, 2014 | Bukovyna 0-4 Chornomorets | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Bukovyna vs Chornomorets on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bukovyna score 1.2 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Chornomorets score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bukovyna | 1.2 | 0.7 | 9 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Chornomorets | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bukovyna sit 10th in Premier League (8 points from 8 matches) and Chornomorets sit 13th (5 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bukovyna | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
| 13 | Chornomorets | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 5 |
A question about Bukovyna vs Chornomorets?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bukovyna vs Chornomorets?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bukovyna the favourite at 59%, against 26% for a draw and 15% for Chornomorets.
- Where and when is Bukovyna vs Chornomorets played?
- Bukovyna vs Chornomorets is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Bukovyna, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.