Bukovyna vs Chornomorets: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Bukovyna, Chernivtsi
The Footlab model makes Bukovyna the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Chornomorets. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bukovyna vs Chornomorets?
Bukovyna starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,848 vs 1,738).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bukovyna have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Chornomorets have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nyva Ternopil(away) | 4-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Karpaty(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Obolon'-Brovar(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | LNZ Cherkasy(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Ruh Lviv(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vilkhivtsi(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | LNZ Cherkasy(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Polessya(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Nyva Vinnytsya(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Bukovyna win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Chornomorets win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Bukovyna 1-3 Chornomorets | Persha Liga |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Chornomorets 1-2 Bukovyna | Persha Liga |
| Aug 23, 2014 | Bukovyna 0-4 Chornomorets | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Bukovyna vs Chornomorets on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bukovyna score 2.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Chornomorets score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bukovyna | 2.1 | 0.8 | 9 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Chornomorets | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bukovyna sit 13th in Premier League (2 points from 3 matches) and Chornomorets sit 15th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bukovyna | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| 15 | Chornomorets | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bukovyna vs Chornomorets?
- The Footlab model makes Bukovyna the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Chornomorets.
- Where and when is Bukovyna vs Chornomorets played?
- Bukovyna vs Chornomorets is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Bukovyna, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.