Chotebor vs Havlíčkův Brod: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie DDivision D - 10Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Fotbalový Stadión Chotěboř, Chotěboř
The Footlab model makes Havlíčkův Brod the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Chotebor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chotebor vs Havlíčkův Brod?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Chotebor (1,537) and Havlíčkův Brod (1,615).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chotebor have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Havlíčkův Brod have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sparta Brno(away) | 0-2 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bystrc Kníničky(home) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Vsetín(home) | 1-6 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kuřim(away) | 1-8 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Velké Meziříčí(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bedrichov(away) | 4-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Velké Meziříčí(home) | 3-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Vysočina Jihlava(home) | 1-5 | Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Pelhřimov(away) | 0-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Stará Říše(away) | 4-0 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Chotebor win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Havlíčkův Brod win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Havlíčkův Brod 1-2 Chotebor | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Chotebor 1-0 Havlíčkův Brod | 4. liga - Divizie D |
Last archived meeting: Havlíčkův Brod vs Chotebor on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chotebor score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Havlíčkův Brod score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chotebor | 1.5 | 2.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Havlíčkův Brod | 2.1 | 1.7 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chotebor sit 16th in 4. liga - Divizie D (1 points from 2 matches) and Havlíčkův Brod sit 7th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Havlíčkův Brod | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Havlíčkův Brod | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 16 | Chotebor | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 1 |
| 16 | Chotebor | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chotebor vs Havlíčkův Brod?
- The Footlab model makes Havlíčkův Brod the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Chotebor.
- Where and when is Chotebor vs Havlíčkův Brod played?
- Chotebor vs Havlíčkův Brod is played on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Fotbalový Stadión Chotěboř, in the 4. liga - Divizie D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.