Sparta Brno vs Ždírec nad Doubravou: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie DDivision D - 10Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Komárovský stadion, Brno
The Footlab model makes Sparta Brno the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Ždírec nad Doubravou. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sparta Brno vs Ždírec nad Doubravou?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Sparta Brno (1,594) and Ždírec nad Doubravou (1,527).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sparta Brno have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Ždírec nad Doubravou have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chotebor(home) | 2-0 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Žďár nad Sázavou(away) | 1-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Sokol Lanžhot(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FS Třebíč(home) | 1-2 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Vrchovina(home) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Velká Bíteš(away) | 0-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tatran Bohunice(away) | 1-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sokol Tasovice(home) | 1-3 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Kuřim(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Znojmo(home) | 2-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Sparta Brno win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Ždírec nad Doubravou win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Sparta Brno 2-1 Ždírec nad Doubravou | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Ždírec nad Doubravou 0-1 Sparta Brno | 4. liga - Divizie D |
Last archived meeting: Sparta Brno vs Ždírec nad Doubravou on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sparta Brno score 2.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ždírec nad Doubravou score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Brno | 2.3 | 1.9 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Ždírec nad Doubravou | 0.9 | 1.7 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sparta Brno sit 13th in 4. liga - Divizie D (1 points from 2 matches) and Ždírec nad Doubravou sit 15th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Sparta Brno | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 13 | Sparta Brno | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 15 | Ždírec nad Doubravou | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 15 | Ždírec nad Doubravou | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sparta Brno vs Ždírec nad Doubravou?
- The Footlab model makes Sparta Brno the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Ždírec nad Doubravou.
- Where and when is Sparta Brno vs Ždírec nad Doubravou played?
- Sparta Brno vs Ždírec nad Doubravou is played on October 3, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Komárovský stadion, in the 4. liga - Divizie D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.