Znojmo vs Humpolec: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie DDivision D - 10Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Městský stadion Horním parku, Znojmo
The Footlab model makes Znojmo the favourite at 70%, against 17% for a draw and 13% for Humpolec. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Znojmo vs Humpolec?
Znojmo starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,635 vs 1,528).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Znojmo have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Humpolec have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bystrc Kníničky(away) | 1-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kuřim(home) | 2-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bedrichov(away) | 0-0 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Jul 26, 2026 | SK Krumvir(away) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Ždírec nad Doubravou(away) | 1-2 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kuřim(away) | 0-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bedrichov(home) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Velká Bíteš(home) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Velké Meziříčí(away) | 1-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Bedrichov(away) | 3-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Znojmo win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Humpolec win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Znojmo 2-3 Humpolec | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Humpolec 0-2 Znojmo | 4. liga - Divizie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Znojmo score 2.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Humpolec score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Znojmo | 2.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Humpolec | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Znojmo sit 5th in 4. liga - Divizie D (4 points from 2 matches) and Humpolec sit 10th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Znojmo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Znojmo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 10 | Humpolec | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 12 | Humpolec | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Znojmo vs Humpolec?
- The Footlab model makes Znojmo the favourite at 70%, against 17% for a draw and 13% for Humpolec.
- Where and when is Znojmo vs Humpolec played?
- Znojmo vs Humpolec is played on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Městský stadion Horním parku, in the 4. liga - Divizie D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.