Chotebor vs Pelhřimov: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie DDivision D - 14Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Fotbalový Stadión Chotěboř, Chotěboř
The Footlab model makes Chotebor the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Pelhřimov. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chotebor vs Pelhřimov?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Chotebor (1,537) and Pelhřimov (1,556).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chotebor have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Pelhřimov have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sparta Brno(away) | 0-2 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bystrc Kníničky(home) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Vsetín(home) | 1-6 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kuřim(away) | 1-8 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Velké Meziříčí(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Tatran Bohunice(home) | 1-2 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sokol Tasovice(away) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Havlíčkův Brod(home) | 1-0 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Sokol Tasovice(home) | 1-2 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Chotebor(away) | 2-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Chotebor win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Pelhřimov win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | Chotebor 1-2 Pelhřimov | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Pelhřimov 5-2 Chotebor | 4. liga - Divizie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Chotebor score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Pelhřimov score 1.6 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chotebor | 1.5 | 2.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Pelhřimov | 1.6 | 2.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chotebor sit 16th in 4. liga - Divizie D (1 points from 2 matches) and Pelhřimov sit 4th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pelhřimov | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Pelhřimov | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 16 | Chotebor | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 1 |
| 16 | Chotebor | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chotebor vs Pelhřimov?
- The Footlab model makes Chotebor the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Pelhřimov.
- Where and when is Chotebor vs Pelhřimov played?
- Chotebor vs Pelhřimov is played on November 1, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Fotbalový Stadión Chotěboř, in the 4. liga - Divizie D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.