Humpolec vs Tatran Bohunice: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie DDivision D - 14Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion A.F.C. Humpolec, Humpolec
The Footlab model makes Tatran Bohunice the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Humpolec. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Humpolec vs Tatran Bohunice?
Tatran Bohunice starts as the favourite with a 179-point Elo edge (1,707 vs 1,528).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Humpolec have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Tatran Bohunice have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kuřim(away) | 0-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bedrichov(home) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Velká Bíteš(home) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Velké Meziříčí(away) | 1-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Bedrichov(away) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pelhřimov(away) | 2-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ždírec nad Doubravou(home) | 1-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Velká Bíteš(away) | 4-0 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Uherský Brod(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Líšeň II(home) | 0-0 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Humpolec win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Tatran Bohunice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Tatran Bohunice 4-0 Humpolec | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Humpolec 0-1 Tatran Bohunice | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Humpolec 3-0 Tatran Bohunice | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Tatran Bohunice 1-2 Humpolec | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Mar 25, 2023 | Tatran Bohunice 4-0 Humpolec | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 13, 2022 | Humpolec 0-2 Tatran Bohunice | 4. liga - Divizie D |
Last archived meeting: Tatran Bohunice vs Humpolec on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Humpolec score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Tatran Bohunice score 1.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Humpolec | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Tatran Bohunice | 1.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Humpolec sit 10th in 4. liga - Divizie D (2 points from 2 matches) and Tatran Bohunice sit 1st (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tatran Bohunice | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Tatran Bohunice | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 | Humpolec | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 12 | Humpolec | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Humpolec vs Tatran Bohunice?
- The Footlab model makes Tatran Bohunice the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Humpolec.
- Where and when is Humpolec vs Tatran Bohunice played?
- Humpolec vs Tatran Bohunice is played on November 1, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion A.F.C. Humpolec, in the 4. liga - Divizie D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.