Città di Varese vs Pontedera: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 21Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Franco Ossola, Varese
The Footlab AI model makes Città di Varese the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Pontedera. The most likely score is 1-1. If Città di Varese wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,500 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Città di Varese vs Pontedera?
Città di Varese starts as the favourite with a 141-point Elo edge (1,768 vs 1,627).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Città di Varese vs Pontedera
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Città di Varese
Not enough data to predict the Città di Varese lineup.
Pontedera
Not enough data to predict the Pontedera lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 02:10 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Città di Varese have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Pontedera have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Varesina(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Solbiatese(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Arconatese(away) | 5-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Oltrepò(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Pro Patria(home) | 2-5 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Arconatese(away) | 4-3 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Oltrepò(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Crema(away) | 1-4 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Coriano(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lentigione(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Città di Varese win, 0 draws, 0 Pontedera wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pontedera 0-3 Città di Varese | Serie D - Girone D |
Last archived meeting: Pontedera vs Città di Varese on Sep 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Città di Varese score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Pontedera score 0.8 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Città di Varese | 1.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Pontedera | 0.8 | 2.2 | 1 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Città di Varese sit 11th in Serie D - Girone D (13 points from 10 matches) and Pontedera sit 15th (7 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Città di Varese | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 13 |
| 15 | Pontedera | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 26 | 7 |
A question about Città di Varese vs Pontedera?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Città di Varese vs Pontedera?
- The Footlab AI model makes Città di Varese the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Pontedera.
- Where and when is Città di Varese vs Pontedera played?
- Città di Varese vs Pontedera is played on January 24, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Franco Ossola, in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.