Cittadella Vis Modena vs Lentigione: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D · Matchday 21Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Allegretti Campo A, San Damaso
The Footlab AI model makes Lentigione the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Cittadella Vis Modena. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lentigione wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 5,926 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cittadella Vis Modena vs Lentigione?
Lentigione starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,864 vs 1,753).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cittadella Vis Modena vs Lentigione
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cittadella Vis Modena
Not enough data to predict the Cittadella Vis Modena lineup.
Lentigione
Not enough data to predict the Lentigione lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 11:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cittadella Vis Modena have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Lentigione have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Pavia(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Crema(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Pistoiese(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Oltrepò(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | USD Casatese(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Arconatese(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Sant'Angelo(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Crema(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Solbiatese(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Pontedera(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Cittadella Vis Modena win, 1 draw, 4 Lentigione wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lentigione 0-1 Cittadella Vis Modena | Serie D - Girone D |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Cittadella Vis Modena 0-1 Lentigione | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Lentigione 1-0 Cittadella Vis Modena | Serie D - Girone D |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Lentigione 2-2 Cittadella Vis Modena | Serie D - Girone D |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Cittadella Vis Modena 0-1 Lentigione | Serie D - Girone D |
| Nov 13, 2024 | Cittadella Vis Modena 0-2 Lentigione | Coppa Italia Serie D |
Last archived meeting: Lentigione vs Cittadella Vis Modena on Sep 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cittadella Vis Modena score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Lentigione score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cittadella Vis Modena | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Lentigione | 1.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cittadella Vis Modena sit 12th in Serie D - Girone D (14 points from 10 matches) and Lentigione sit 2nd (24 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lentigione | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 10 | 24 |
| 12 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 14 |
A question about Cittadella Vis Modena vs Lentigione?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cittadella Vis Modena vs Lentigione?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lentigione the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Cittadella Vis Modena.
- Where and when is Cittadella Vis Modena vs Lentigione played?
- Cittadella Vis Modena vs Lentigione is played on January 24, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Allegretti Campo A, in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.