Pro Sesto vs Crema: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 21Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Ernesto Breda, Sesto San Giovanni
The Footlab AI model makes Pro Sesto the favourite at 67%, against 21% for a draw and 12% for Crema. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pro Sesto vs Crema?
Pro Sesto starts as the favourite with a 157-point Elo edge (1,753 vs 1,596).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pro Sesto vs Crema
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pro Sesto
Not enough data to predict the Pro Sesto lineup.
Crema
Not enough data to predict the Crema lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 08:38 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pro Sesto have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Crema have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Solbiatese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Arconatese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Oltrepò(home) | 6-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Crema(away) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Pontedera(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Coriano(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Città di Varese(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Castellanzese(away) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pro Sesto(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Pro Patria(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Pro Sesto wins, 2 draws, 0 Crema wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Crema 0-3 Pro Sesto | Serie D - Girone D |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Crema 1-3 Pro Sesto | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Pro Sesto 1-1 Crema | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Pro Sesto 1-0 Crema | Serie D - Girone B |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Crema 1-1 Pro Sesto | Serie D - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Pro Sesto score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Crema score 0.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pro Sesto | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Crema | 0.7 | 1.8 | 5 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pro Sesto sit 5th in Serie D - Girone D (14 points from 7 matches) and Crema sit 15th (5 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pro Sesto | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 14 |
| 15 | Crema | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 5 |
A question about Pro Sesto vs Crema?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pro Sesto vs Crema?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pro Sesto the favourite at 67%, against 21% for a draw and 12% for Crema.
- Where and when is Pro Sesto vs Crema played?
- Pro Sesto vs Crema is played on January 24, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Ernesto Breda, in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.