Match

Don Benito vs Ciudad de Lucena: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 24Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Vicente Sanz, Don Benito

Don BenitoCiudad de Lucena

The Footlab AI model makes Ciudad de Lucena the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Don Benito. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ciudad de Lucena wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,911 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Don Benito vs Ciudad de Lucena?

A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Don Benito (1,908) and Ciudad de Lucena (1,959).

30%29%41%
Don Benito winDrawCiudad de Lucena win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Don Benito vs Ciudad de Lucena

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Don Benito

4-3-3
  1. 11G. Santamaria
  2. 7A. Pavon
  3. 9N. Copete
  1. 10A. Lopez
  2. 6Carlos Lopez
  3. 8J. Mancha
  1. 23Jorge Bote
  2. 22Pavon Lolo
  3. 4R. Sanchez
  4. 18B. Velazquez
  1. 13C. Llera

Ciudad de Lucena

4-4-2
  1. 6Isra Cano
  2. 9Diego Vargas
  1. 17M. Sanchez
  2. 4Rafa Gálvez
  3. 2Ale Benítez
  4. 21M. Linares
  1. 3Manolillo
  2. 14Pavón
  3. 5P. Carmona
  4. 12Rubén Ávila
  1. 13Froilán Leal

Computed on November 8, 2026 at 05:42 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Don Benito have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Ciudad de Lucena have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Don Benito
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 2, 2026Tenerife II(away)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 27, 2026Extremadura 1924(home)2-4Copa del Rey
Oct 24, 2026Linares Deportivo(home)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 18, 2026Atlético Central(home)4-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 11, 2026Ciudad de Lucena(away)2-4Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Ciudad de Lucena
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Badajoz(home)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Nov 1, 2026Sanluqueño(home)2-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 27, 2026Rayo Majadahonda(home)0-1Copa del Rey
Oct 24, 2026Estepona(away)2-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 18, 2026Xerez(away)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 0 Don Benito wins, 0 draws, 1 Ciudad de Lucena win.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Ciudad de Lucena 4-2 Don BenitoSegunda División RFEF - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Ciudad de Lucena vs Don Benito on Oct 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Don Benito score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ciudad de Lucena score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Don Benito1.91.268/157/15
Ciudad de Lucena1.71.058/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Don Benito sit 3rd in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (17 points from 9 matches) and Ciudad de Lucena sit 2nd (19 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Ciudad de Lucena10541171019
3Don Benito9522151117

A question about Don Benito vs Ciudad de Lucena?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Don Benito vs Ciudad de Lucena?
The Footlab AI model makes Ciudad de Lucena the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Don Benito.
Where and when is Don Benito vs Ciudad de Lucena played?
Don Benito vs Ciudad de Lucena is played on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Vicente Sanz, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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