Ciudad de Torredonjimeno vs Malaga City: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Matías Prats, Torredonjimeno
The Footlab model makes Ciudad de Torredonjimeno the favourite at 54%, against 27% for a draw and 19% for Malaga City. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ciudad de Torredonjimeno vs Malaga City?
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (1,727 vs 1,597).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ciudad de Torredonjimeno have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Malaga City have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Marbelli(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 3, 2026 | Mancha Real(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Churriana Vega(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Torreperogil(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | Arenas Armilla(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 4, 2025 | Polideportivo Almería(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 1, 2025 | Real Jaén(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Mancha Real(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Mijas Las Lagunas(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Malaga City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2025 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 2-0 Malaga City | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Malaga City 1-1 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 5, 2024 | Malaga City 3-2 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 2-2 Malaga City | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Malaga City 1-2 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Dec 17, 2022 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 2-1 Malaga City | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
Last archived meeting: Ciudad de Torredonjimeno vs Malaga City on Feb 23, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Malaga City score 1.0 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Malaga City | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 39 | 38 | 50 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ciudad de Torredonjimeno vs Malaga City?
- The Footlab model makes Ciudad de Torredonjimeno the favourite at 54%, against 27% for a draw and 19% for Malaga City.
- Where and when is Ciudad de Torredonjimeno vs Malaga City played?
- Ciudad de Torredonjimeno vs Malaga City is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Matías Prats, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.