Mancha Real vs Alhaurino: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Polideportivo La Juventud, Mancha Real
The Footlab AI model makes Mancha Real the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Alhaurino. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mancha Real wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mancha Real vs Alhaurino?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Mancha Real (1,676) and Alhaurino (1,723).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mancha Real vs Alhaurino
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mancha Real
Not enough data to predict the Mancha Real lineup.
Alhaurino
4-3-3- AAlejandro Guerrero Martín
- II. Ndiaye
- DDiogo Rodrigues de Sousa
- MMiguel Ángel Lupiáñez Gómez
- VVíctor Rueda Pérez
- MManuel González Mora
- DDavid Sánchez Molina
- RRaúl Fernández Ortega
- FFran Moreno
- AAlejandro Jiménez Rios
- JJosé Manuel Pérez García
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 06:44 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mancha Real have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Alhaurino have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Malaga City(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Torre del Mar(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Huétor Vega(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atletico de Marbella(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Marbelli(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Melilla(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Motril(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Churriana Vega(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Mancha Real wins, 1 draw, 1 Alhaurino win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Alhaurino 1-1 Mancha Real | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Mancha Real 2-4 Alhaurino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
Last archived meeting: Alhaurino vs Mancha Real on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mancha Real score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Alhaurino score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mancha Real | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Alhaurino | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mancha Real sit 17th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (2 points from 6 matches) and Alhaurino sit 12th (8 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Alhaurino | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 8 |
| 17 | Mancha Real | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 2 |
A question about Mancha Real vs Alhaurino?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mancha Real vs Alhaurino?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mancha Real the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Alhaurino.
- Where and when is Mancha Real vs Alhaurino played?
- Mancha Real vs Alhaurino is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Polideportivo La Juventud, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 25, 2026MelillavsCantoria
- Oct 25, 2026Almería IIvsAtletico de Marbella
- Oct 25, 2026Ciudad de TorredonjimenovsMalaga City
- Oct 25, 2026Huétor VegavsTorre del Mar
- Oct 25, 2026MotrilvsMálaga II
- Oct 25, 2026Arenas ArmillavsUD San Pedro
- Oct 25, 2026MarbellivsAtlético Porcuna
- Oct 25, 2026Churriana VegavsGranada II