Cleethorpes Town vs Curzon Ashton: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 7Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The myenergi Stadium, Grimsby, Lincolnshire
The Footlab model makes Cleethorpes Town the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Curzon Ashton. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cleethorpes Town vs Curzon Ashton?
Cleethorpes Town starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,826 vs 1,705).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cleethorpes Town have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Curzon Ashton have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Alfreton Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Warrington Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Quorn(away) | 5-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | AFC Emley(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bury(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Alfreton Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Cleethorpes Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Curzon Ashton win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2021 | Curzon Ashton 4-0 Cleethorpes Town | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Curzon Ashton vs Cleethorpes Town on Oct 2, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Cleethorpes Town score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Curzon Ashton score 1.1 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleethorpes Town | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Curzon Ashton | 1.1 | 2.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cleethorpes Town sit 1st in Non League Premier - Northern (13 points from 5 matches) and Curzon Ashton sit 16th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleethorpes Town | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 13 |
| 16 | Curzon Ashton | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cleethorpes Town vs Curzon Ashton?
- The Footlab model makes Cleethorpes Town the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Curzon Ashton.
- Where and when is Cleethorpes Town vs Curzon Ashton played?
- Cleethorpes Town vs Curzon Ashton is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The myenergi Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.