Where and when is Workington vs Leek Town played?

Workington vs Leek Town is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Borough Park, in the Non League Premier - Northern.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Workington vs Leek Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 7Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Borough Park, Workington, Cumbria

Workington

Leek Town

The Footlab model makes Leek Town the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Workington. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Workington vs Leek Town?

A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Workington (1,694) and Leek Town (1,778).

Workington win34 %

Draw30 %

Leek Town win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Workington have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Leek Town have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Workington
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	United of Manchester(away)	2-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 19, 2026	Avro(away)	1-4	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026	Guiseley AFC(home)	2-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026	Redcar Athletic(home)	0-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 8, 2026	Gainsborough Trinity(away)	0-2	Non League Premier - Northern

Leek Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Bamber Bridge(home)	4-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026	AFC Emley(home)	1-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026	Stockton Town(away)	1-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026	United of Manchester(away)	1-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 8, 2026	Whitby Town(home)	1-2	Non League Premier - Northern

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Workington win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Leek Town win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Workington 0-1 Leek Town	Non League Premier - Northern
Nov 29, 2025	Leek Town 2-2 Workington	Non League Premier - Northern
Apr 12, 2025	Leek Town 1-0 Workington	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 17, 2024	Workington 1-1 Leek Town	Non League Premier - Northern
Feb 4, 2023	Leek Town 0-1 Workington	Non League Div One - Northern West
Oct 1, 2022	Workington 1-1 Leek Town	Non League Div One - Northern West

Last archived meeting: Workington vs Leek Town on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Workington score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Leek Town score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Workington	1.1	1.5	3	7/15	7/15
Leek Town	1.5	1.0	5	9/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Workington sit 19th in Non League Premier - Northern (4 points from 5 matches) and Leek Town sit 15th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
15	Leek Town	5	1	2	2	8	7	5
19	Workington	5	1	1	3	5	10	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Workington vs Leek Town?: The Footlab model makes Leek Town the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Workington.
Where and when is Workington vs Leek Town played?: Workington vs Leek Town is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Borough Park, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.