Guiseley AFC vs Lancaster City: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 7Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Nethermoor Park, Guiseley, West Yorkshire
The Footlab model makes Guiseley AFC the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Lancaster City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guiseley AFC vs Lancaster City?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Guiseley AFC (1,763) and Lancaster City (1,740).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guiseley AFC have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Lancaster City have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Curzon Ashton(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Bury(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Workington(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Whitby Town(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Warrington Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Quorn(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hyde United(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Rylands(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ashton United(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Guiseley AFC win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Lancaster City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Guiseley AFC 0-0 Lancaster City | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Lancaster City 0-0 Guiseley AFC | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Guiseley AFC 1-2 Lancaster City | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 15, 2024 | Lancaster City 1-1 Guiseley AFC | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Guiseley AFC 2-3 Lancaster City | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Lancaster City 2-2 Guiseley AFC | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Guiseley AFC vs Lancaster City on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Guiseley AFC score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Lancaster City score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guiseley AFC | 1.8 | 1.5 | 2 | 13/15 | 10/15 |
| Lancaster City | 1.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guiseley AFC sit 6th in Non League Premier - Northern (10 points from 5 matches) and Lancaster City sit 18th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Guiseley AFC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
| 18 | Lancaster City | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guiseley AFC vs Lancaster City?
- The Footlab model makes Guiseley AFC the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Lancaster City.
- Where and when is Guiseley AFC vs Lancaster City played?
- Guiseley AFC vs Lancaster City is played on August 28, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Nethermoor Park, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.