Club Brugge KV vs Union St. Gilloise: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Jan Breydelstadion, Brugge
The Footlab model makes Club Brugge KV the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Union St. Gilloise. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Club Brugge KV vs Union St. Gilloise?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Club Brugge KV (2,229) and Union St. Gilloise (2,210).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Club Brugge KV have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Union St. Gilloise have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(home) | 1-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | OH Leuven(away) | 3-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Kortrijk(home) | 3-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(home) | 1-1 | Super Cup |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rennes(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zulte Waregem(home) | 0-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bodo/Glimt(away) | 2-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | KVC Westerlo(away) | 5-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Bodo/Glimt(home) | 3-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Club Brugge KV(away) | 1-1 | Super Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Club Brugge KV win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Union St. Gilloise win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | Club Brugge KV 1-1 Union St. Gilloise | Super Cup |
| May 17, 2026 | Club Brugge KV 5-0 Union St. Gilloise | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise 2-1 Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise 1-0 Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Club Brugge KV 1-0 Union St. Gilloise | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Union St. Gilloise 1-2 Club Brugge KV | Super Cup |
Last archived meeting: Club Brugge KV vs Union St. Gilloise on Jul 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Club Brugge KV score 2.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Union St. Gilloise score 2.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge KV | 2.7 | 1.0 | 7 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Union St. Gilloise | 2.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Club Brugge KV sit 1st in Jupiler Pro League (9 points from 3 matches) and Union St. Gilloise sit 7th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Brugge KV | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | Union St. Gilloise | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Club Brugge KV vs Union St. Gilloise?
- The Footlab model makes Club Brugge KV the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Union St. Gilloise.
- Where and when is Club Brugge KV vs Union St. Gilloise played?
- Club Brugge KV vs Union St. Gilloise is played on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Jan Breydelstadion, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.