Antwerp vs Gent: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Bosuilstadion, Deurne
The Footlab model makes Antwerp the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Gent. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Antwerp vs Gent?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Antwerp (1,953) and Gent (1,980).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Antwerp have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Gent have 4, 10 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Genk(home) | 4-4 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kortrijk(away) | 3-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | SK Beveren(home) | 2-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Leyton Orient(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Millwall(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Hibernian(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | RAAL La Louvière(away) | 2-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | IFK Goteborg(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | KV Mechelen(home) | 2-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | IFK Goteborg(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Antwerp win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Gent win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | Gent 0-2 Antwerp | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Antwerp 1-2 Gent | Jupiler Pro League |
| May 11, 2025 | Gent 0-3 Antwerp | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Antwerp 0-1 Gent | Jupiler Pro League |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Antwerp 0-1 Gent | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Gent 1-1 Antwerp | Jupiler Pro League |
How many goals should we expect?
Antwerp score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Gent score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antwerp | 1.6 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Gent | 1.3 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Antwerp sit 4th in Jupiler Pro League (7 points from 3 matches) and Gent sit 5th (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Antwerp | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 7 |
| 5 | Gent | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Antwerp vs Gent?
- The Footlab model makes Antwerp the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Gent.
- Where and when is Antwerp vs Gent played?
- Antwerp vs Gent is played on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Bosuilstadion, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.