Zulte Waregem vs KV Mechelen: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Elindus Arena, Waregem
The Footlab model makes Zulte Waregem the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for KV Mechelen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zulte Waregem vs KV Mechelen?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Zulte Waregem (1,983) and KV Mechelen (1,887).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zulte Waregem have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; KV Mechelen have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SK Beveren(home) | 4-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(away) | 0-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Genk(home) | 2-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Beerschot VA(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Charleroi(away) | 0-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Standard Liege(home) | 3-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Gent(away) | 0-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dunkerque(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Willem II(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Zulte Waregem win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 KV Mechelen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | KV Mechelen 2-1 Zulte Waregem | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Zulte Waregem 1-1 KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League |
| Feb 28, 2023 | KV Mechelen 1-0 Zulte Waregem | Cup |
| Feb 2, 2023 | Zulte Waregem 1-2 KV Mechelen | Cup |
| Jan 8, 2023 | Zulte Waregem 2-0 KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League |
| Nov 5, 2022 | KV Mechelen 2-2 Zulte Waregem | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: KV Mechelen vs Zulte Waregem on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Zulte Waregem score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; KV Mechelen score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zulte Waregem | 2.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| KV Mechelen | 1.1 | 1.8 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zulte Waregem sit 3rd in Jupiler Pro League (7 points from 3 matches) and KV Mechelen sit 14th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Zulte Waregem | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| 14 | KV Mechelen | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zulte Waregem vs KV Mechelen?
- The Footlab model makes Zulte Waregem the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for KV Mechelen.
- Where and when is Zulte Waregem vs KV Mechelen played?
- Zulte Waregem vs KV Mechelen is played on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Elindus Arena, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.