Genk vs Charleroi: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Cegeka Arena, Genk
The Footlab AI model makes Genk the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Charleroi. The most likely score is 1-1. If Genk wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,381 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Genk vs Charleroi?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Genk (2,089) and Charleroi (2,075).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Genk vs Charleroi
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Genk
4-3-3- 17R. Durosinmi
- 10J. Ito
- 32Noah Adedeji-Sternberg
- 8B. Heynen
- 4B. Tahirović
- 38D. Heymans
- 20K. Amaro
- 18J. Kayembe
- 44J. Kongolo
- 6M. Smets
- 28L. Kiaba Mounganga
Charleroi
4-2-3-1- 21A. Scheidler
- 18Y. Khalifi
- 6A. Boukamir
- 14P. Pflücke
- 8J. Romsaas
- 20F. Situmona Mbemba
- 3K. Van Den Kerkhof
- 24M. Nzita
- 95C. Keita
- 4A. Ousou
- 30M. Koné
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 10:59 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Genk have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Charleroi have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kortrijk(home) | 3-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Club Brugge KV(away) | 0-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Gent(home) | 1-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Anderlecht(away) | 0-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Standard Liege(away) | 1-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(home) | 3-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Zulte Waregem(away) | 1-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(home) | 2-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Kortrijk(away) | 3-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Genk win, 3 draws, 2 Charleroi wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Charleroi 2-0 Genk | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Genk 1-1 Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
| Dec 19, 2025 | Charleroi 2-2 Genk | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Genk 0-1 Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
| Feb 28, 2025 | Charleroi 1-1 Genk | Jupiler Pro League |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Genk 3-0 Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
How many goals should we expect?
Genk score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Charleroi score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genk | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Charleroi | 1.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Genk sit 7th in Jupiler Pro League (12 points from 8 matches) and Charleroi sit 3rd (21 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Charleroi | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 21 |
| 7 | Genk | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 12 |
A question about Genk vs Charleroi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Genk vs Charleroi?
- The Footlab AI model makes Genk the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Charleroi.
- Where and when is Genk vs Charleroi played?
- Genk vs Charleroi is played on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Cegeka Arena, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.