Coastal Union vs JKT Tanzania: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Mkwakwani Stadium, Tanga
The Footlab model makes Coastal Union the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for JKT Tanzania. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Coastal Union vs JKT Tanzania?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Coastal Union (1,541) and JKT Tanzania (1,554).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Coastal Union have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; JKT Tanzania have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Young Africans(away) | 1-4 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mashujaa(home) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Pamba Jiji(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Azam(home) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Tabora United(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Young Africans(away) | 0-4 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Polisi Tanzania(away) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tabora United(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Young Africans(home) | 0-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Pamba Jiji(away) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Coastal Union win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 JKT Tanzania win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2026 | JKT Tanzania 1-1 Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 22, 2025 | Coastal Union 1-2 JKT Tanzania | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 7, 2025 | Coastal Union 2-1 JKT Tanzania | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 25, 2024 | JKT Tanzania 2-1 Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 25, 2024 | Coastal Union 0-0 JKT Tanzania | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Dec 18, 2023 | JKT Tanzania 0-1 Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: JKT Tanzania vs Coastal Union on Feb 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Coastal Union score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; JKT Tanzania score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coastal Union | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| JKT Tanzania | 0.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Coastal Union sit 16th in Ligi kuu Bara (0 points from 2 matches) and JKT Tanzania sit 13th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | JKT Tanzania | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 16 | Coastal Union | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Coastal Union vs JKT Tanzania?
- The Footlab model makes Coastal Union the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for JKT Tanzania.
- Where and when is Coastal Union vs JKT Tanzania played?
- Coastal Union vs JKT Tanzania is played on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Mkwakwani Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.