Geita Gold vs Coastal Union: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Nyankumbu Stadium, Geita
The Footlab model makes Geita Gold the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Coastal Union. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Geita Gold vs Coastal Union?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Geita Gold (1,474) and Coastal Union (1,540).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Geita Gold have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Coastal Union have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(home) | 6-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Namungo(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Mbeya City(away) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 28, 2024 | Azam(home) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 25, 2024 | Fountain Gate(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Tabora United(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Young Africans(away) | 1-4 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mashujaa(home) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Pamba Jiji(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Azam(home) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Geita Gold win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Coastal Union win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2024 | Geita Gold 0-0 Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Nov 30, 2023 | Coastal Union 3-1 Geita Gold | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jan 24, 2023 | Geita Gold 1-0 Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 13, 2022 | Coastal Union 0-0 Geita Gold | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 29, 2022 | Coastal Union 1-1 Geita Gold | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 19, 2022 | Geita Gold 2-0 Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Geita Gold vs Coastal Union on May 14, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Geita Gold score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Coastal Union score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geita Gold | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Coastal Union | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Geita Gold sit 5th in Ligi kuu Bara (6 points from 3 matches) and Coastal Union sit 14th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Geita Gold | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| 14 | Coastal Union | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Geita Gold vs Coastal Union?
- The Footlab model makes Geita Gold the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Coastal Union.
- Where and when is Geita Gold vs Coastal Union played?
- Geita Gold vs Coastal Union is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Nyankumbu Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.