Coastal Union vs Simba: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 19Kick-off on February 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Mkwakwani Stadium, Tanga
The Footlab model makes Simba the favourite at 63%, against 24% for a draw and 13% for Coastal Union. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Coastal Union vs Simba?
Simba is a heavy favourite: 1,922 Elo points against 1,541 — a 381-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Coastal Union have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Simba have 13, 2 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Young Africans(away) | 1-4 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mashujaa(home) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Pamba Jiji(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Azam(home) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Tabora United(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(away) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Pamba Jiji(away) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(away) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(away) | 2-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Jamus(away) | 0-0 | CECAFA Club Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Coastal Union win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Simba win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2026 | Coastal Union 1-2 Simba | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Simba 2-0 Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Coastal Union 0-3 Simba | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 4, 2024 | Simba 2-2 Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Coastal Union 1-2 Simba | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 21, 2023 | Simba 3-0 Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Coastal Union vs Simba on May 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Coastal Union score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Simba score 1.8 and concede 0.3. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coastal Union | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Simba | 1.8 | 0.3 | 10 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Coastal Union sit 16th in Ligi kuu Bara (0 points from 2 matches) and Simba sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 16 | Coastal Union | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Coastal Union vs Simba?
- The Footlab model makes Simba the favourite at 63%, against 24% for a draw and 13% for Coastal Union.
- Where and when is Coastal Union vs Simba played?
- Coastal Union vs Simba is played on February 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Mkwakwani Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.