Match

Coastal Union vs Simba: prediction and stats

Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 19Kick-off on February 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Mkwakwani Stadium, Tanga

Coastal UnionSimba

The Footlab AI model makes Simba the favourite at 73%, against 19% for a draw and 8% for Coastal Union. The most likely score is 0-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Coastal Union vs Simba?

Simba is a heavy favourite: 1,997 Elo points against 1,599, a 398-point gap.

8%19%73%
Coastal Union winDrawSimba win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Coastal Union vs Simba

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Coastal Union

4-3-3
  1. 25S. Kichuya
  2. 9M. M. Maabad
  3. 36M. Andrea
  1. 16G. Manyasi
  2. 13K. Gradi
  3. 34S. Mwanza
  1. 26R. Aidan
  2. 5A. A. Msangi
  3. 2A. William
  4. 4A. Laurent
  1. 18C. Ramadhani

Simba

4-3-3
  1. 7L. Gueye
  2. 34E. Mpanzu
  3. 29Ibrahim Doumbia
  1. 35N. Maema
  2. 17C. Chama
  3. 18M. Abraham
  1. 23R. De Reuck
  2. 26N. Chilambo
  3. 20A. Oura
  4. 39Abdoul Rafiu Kassali
  1. 28H. Abel

Computed on October 14, 2026 at 09:10 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Coastal Union have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Simba have 13, 2 and 0.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Coastal Union
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 12, 2026Singida Black Stars(home)1-0Ligi kuu Bara
Oct 9, 2026Azam(home)0-2Ligi kuu Bara
Sep 12, 2026JKT Tanzania(home)2-1Ligi kuu Bara
Sep 6, 2026Polisi Tanzania(away)2-1Ligi kuu Bara
Aug 27, 2026Simba(away)0-1Ligi kuu Bara
Simba
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2026Mashujaa(home)6-1Ligi kuu Bara
Oct 10, 2026Young Africans(home)2-1Ligi kuu Bara
Sep 16, 2026Azam(away)2-0Ligi kuu Bara
Sep 13, 2026Be Forward Wanderers(home)6-1CAF Champions League
Sep 6, 2026Be Forward Wanderers(away)1-0CAF Champions League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Coastal Union wins, 1 draw, 5 Simba wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 27, 2026Simba 1-0 Coastal UnionLigi kuu Bara
May 21, 2026Coastal Union 1-2 SimbaLigi kuu Bara
Apr 2, 2026Simba 2-0 Coastal UnionLigi kuu Bara
Mar 1, 2025Coastal Union 0-3 SimbaLigi kuu Bara
Oct 4, 2024Simba 2-2 Coastal UnionLigi kuu Bara
Mar 9, 2024Coastal Union 1-2 SimbaLigi kuu Bara

Last archived meeting: Simba vs Coastal Union on Aug 27, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Coastal Union score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Simba score 2.1 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Coastal Union1.11.329/156/15
Simba2.10.496/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Coastal Union sit 10th in Ligi kuu Bara (10 points from 8 matches) and Simba sit 1st (21 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Simba770013321
10Coastal Union831471110

A question about Coastal Union vs Simba?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Coastal Union vs Simba?
The Footlab AI model makes Simba the favourite at 73%, against 19% for a draw and 8% for Coastal Union.
Where and when is Coastal Union vs Simba played?
Coastal Union vs Simba is played on February 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Mkwakwani Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Coastal Union and Simba

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