Young Africans vs Simba: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium, Dar-es-Salaam
The Footlab model makes Young Africans the favourite at 53%, against 28% for a draw and 19% for Simba. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Young Africans vs Simba?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Young Africans (1,973) and Simba (1,922).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Young Africans have 13 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Simba have 13, 2 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(home) | 4-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Coastal Union(home) | 4-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Namungo(away) | 3-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(away) | 3-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Tabora United(home) | 3-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(away) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Pamba Jiji(away) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(away) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(away) | 2-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Jamus(away) | 0-0 | CECAFA Club Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Young Africans win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Simba win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Simba 2-2 Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Young Africans 0-0 Simba | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 25, 2025 | Young Africans 2-0 Simba | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Simba 0-1 Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Young Africans 2-1 Simba | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Simba 1-5 Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Simba vs Young Africans on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Young Africans score 2.9 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Simba score 1.8 and concede 0.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Young Africans | 2.9 | 0.5 | 10 | 5/15 | 12/15 |
| Simba | 1.8 | 0.3 | 10 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Young Africans sit 1st in Ligi kuu Bara (9 points from 3 matches) and Simba sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Simba | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Young Africans vs Simba?
- The Footlab model makes Young Africans the favourite at 53%, against 28% for a draw and 19% for Simba.
- Where and when is Young Africans vs Simba played?
- Young Africans vs Simba is played on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.