Fountain Gate vs Coastal Union: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 8, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Liti Stadium, Singida
The Footlab model makes Fountain Gate the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Coastal Union. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fountain Gate vs Coastal Union?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Fountain Gate (1,483) and Coastal Union (1,540).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fountain Gate have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Coastal Union have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Mashujaa(home) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(away) | 0-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(home) | 4-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Namungo(away) | 0-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Mashujaa(home) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Tabora United(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Young Africans(away) | 1-4 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mashujaa(home) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Pamba Jiji(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Azam(home) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Fountain Gate win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Coastal Union win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2026 | Fountain Gate 3-2 Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 22, 2025 | Coastal Union 1-1 Fountain Gate | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 18, 2025 | Coastal Union 1-0 Fountain Gate | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Dec 13, 2024 | Fountain Gate 3-2 Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 10, 2024 | Coastal Union 2-0 Fountain Gate | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Nov 27, 2023 | Fountain Gate 2-1 Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Fountain Gate vs Coastal Union on May 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fountain Gate score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Coastal Union score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fountain Gate | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Coastal Union | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fountain Gate sit 10th in Ligi kuu Bara (3 points from 2 matches) and Coastal Union sit 14th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Fountain Gate | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 14 | Coastal Union | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fountain Gate vs Coastal Union?
- The Footlab model makes Fountain Gate the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Coastal Union.
- Where and when is Fountain Gate vs Coastal Union played?
- Fountain Gate vs Coastal Union is played on February 8, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Liti Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.