Fountain Gate vs Coastal Union: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 8, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Liti Stadium, Singida
The Footlab AI model makes Coastal Union the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Fountain Gate. The most likely score is 1-1. If Coastal Union wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,930 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fountain Gate vs Coastal Union?
Coastal Union starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,615 vs 1,502).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fountain Gate vs Coastal Union
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fountain Gate
4-3-3- 22S. Said
- 20A. Athuman
- 27Hashimu Kindemile
- 9C. Obasi
- 60S. Mgunda
- 67M. Balama
- 15D. Mukombozi
- 6O. Awara
- 29J. Shiga
- 19A. Mtambi
- 18I. Parapanda
Coastal Union
4-3-3- 9M. M. Maabad
- 69N. Mussa
- 25S. Kichuya
- 16G. Manyasi
- 13K. Gradi
- 34S. Mwanza
- 26R. Aidan
- 5A. A. Msangi
- 4A. Laurent
- 59Adam Arafat
- 18C. Ramadhani
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 08:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fountain Gate have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Coastal Union have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Pamba Jiji(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 9, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(home) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Young Africans(home) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Mbeya City(home) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(home) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Azam(home) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 12, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Polisi Tanzania(away) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Simba(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Fountain Gate wins, 1 draw, 2 Coastal Union wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2026 | Fountain Gate 3-2 Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 22, 2025 | Coastal Union 1-1 Fountain Gate | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 18, 2025 | Coastal Union 1-0 Fountain Gate | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Dec 13, 2024 | Fountain Gate 3-2 Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 10, 2024 | Coastal Union 2-0 Fountain Gate | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Nov 27, 2023 | Fountain Gate 2-1 Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Fountain Gate vs Coastal Union on May 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fountain Gate score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Coastal Union score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fountain Gate | 0.8 | 1.5 | 2 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Coastal Union | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fountain Gate sit 16th in Ligi kuu Bara (5 points from 8 matches) and Coastal Union sit 10th (10 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Coastal Union | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 10 |
| 16 | Fountain Gate | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 5 |
A question about Fountain Gate vs Coastal Union?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fountain Gate vs Coastal Union?
- The Footlab AI model makes Coastal Union the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Fountain Gate.
- Where and when is Fountain Gate vs Coastal Union played?
- Fountain Gate vs Coastal Union is played on February 8, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Liti Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.