Mbeya City vs Namungo: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 19Kick-off on February 3, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sokoine Stadium, Mbeya
The Footlab AI model makes Mbeya City the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Namungo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mbeya City wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mbeya City vs Namungo?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Mbeya City (1,527) and Namungo (1,566).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mbeya City vs Namungo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mbeya City
4-3-3- 10E. Ambokile
- 49O. Mwajanga
- 22V. Mayanga
- 21J. Mwanuke
- 20H. Haji
- 32O. Abdallah
- 26A. Buha
- 14Nassor Mbarouk
- 5Y. Seleman Mbegu
- 4K. Pillar
- 31T. Reuben
Namungo
4-3-3- 23H. Lukindo
- 11R. Chambo
- 21G. Matiko
- 12H. Swalehe
- 6G. Rogers
- 22N. Kapama
- 25J. Shemvuni
- 5F. Magingi
- 6S. Nsajigwa
- 50H. Msati
- 18A. Suleiman
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 11:12 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mbeya City have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Namungo have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(home) | 1-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Polisi Tanzania(away) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Tabora United(away) | 0-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Fountain Gate(away) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Mashujaa(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | Tabora United(home) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Dodoma Jiji(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Azam(away) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(away) | 2-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 29, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Mbeya City win, 2 draws, 3 Namungo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2026 | Namungo 1-1 Mbeya City | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Mbeya City 0-1 Namungo | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Apr 9, 2023 | Namungo 2-1 Mbeya City | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Nov 4, 2022 | Mbeya City 2-1 Namungo | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 29, 2022 | Mbeya City 1-1 Namungo | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 21, 2022 | Namungo 2-0 Mbeya City | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Namungo vs Mbeya City on May 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mbeya City score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Namungo score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mbeya City | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Namungo | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mbeya City sit 8th in Ligi kuu Bara (10 points from 7 matches) and Namungo sit 11th (9 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mbeya City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 10 |
| 11 | Namungo | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 9 |
A question about Mbeya City vs Namungo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mbeya City vs Namungo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mbeya City the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Namungo.
- Where and when is Mbeya City vs Namungo played?
- Mbeya City vs Namungo is played on February 3, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sokoine Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.