Mbeya City vs Namungo: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 19Kick-off on February 3, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sokoine Stadium, Mbeya
The Footlab model makes Mbeya City the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Namungo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mbeya City vs Namungo?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Mbeya City (1,506) and Namungo (1,538).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mbeya City have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Namungo have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Mashujaa(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Dodoma Jiji(home) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Geita Gold(home) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Tabora United(home) | 0-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Dodoma Jiji(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Geita Gold(home) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Young Africans(home) | 1-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Mtibwa Sugar(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Fountain Gate(home) | 0-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 24, 2026 | KMC(away) | 3-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Mbeya City win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Namungo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2026 | Namungo 1-1 Mbeya City | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Mbeya City 0-1 Namungo | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Apr 9, 2023 | Namungo 2-1 Mbeya City | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Nov 4, 2022 | Mbeya City 2-1 Namungo | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 29, 2022 | Mbeya City 1-1 Namungo | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 21, 2022 | Namungo 2-0 Mbeya City | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Namungo vs Mbeya City on May 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mbeya City score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Namungo score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mbeya City | 0.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Namungo | 0.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mbeya City sit 5th in Ligi kuu Bara (6 points from 3 matches) and Namungo sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mbeya City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Namungo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mbeya City vs Namungo?
- The Footlab model makes Mbeya City the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Namungo.
- Where and when is Mbeya City vs Namungo played?
- Mbeya City vs Namungo is played on February 3, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sokoine Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.