Cobán Imperial vs Aurora: prediction and stats
Liga NacionalRegular Season - 11Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Verapaz Jose Angel Rossi, Cobán
The Footlab model makes Cobán Imperial the favourite at 66%, against 22% for a draw and 12% for Aurora. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cobán Imperial vs Aurora?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Cobán Imperial (1,644) and Aurora (1,576).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cobán Imperial have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Aurora have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Antigua GFC(home) | 0-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mixco(home) | 3-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Municipal(away) | 0-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Malacateco(away) | 1-1 | Liga Nacional |
| May 2, 2026 | Mixco(away) | 0-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Suchitepéquez(home) | 3-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Deportivo San Pedro(away) | 1-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Comunicaciones(home) | 3-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Xelajú(away) | 1-3 | Liga Nacional |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Guastatoya(home) | 0-1 | Liga Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Cobán Imperial win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Aurora win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2026 | Cobán Imperial 0-0 Aurora | Liga Nacional |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Aurora 1-0 Cobán Imperial | Liga Nacional |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Cobán Imperial 2-0 Aurora | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Aurora 1-1 Cobán Imperial | Liga Nacional |
| Nov 30, 2014 | Cobán Imperial 1-1 Aurora | Primera Division |
| Nov 23, 2014 | Aurora 1-0 Cobán Imperial | Primera Division |
Last archived meeting: Cobán Imperial vs Aurora on Apr 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cobán Imperial score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Aurora score 0.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cobán Imperial | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Aurora | 0.8 | 1.6 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cobán Imperial sit 6th in Liga Nacional (32 points from 22 matches) and Aurora sit 11th (20 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cobán Imperial | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 22 | 32 |
| 11 | Aurora | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 30 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cobán Imperial vs Aurora?
- The Footlab model makes Cobán Imperial the favourite at 66%, against 22% for a draw and 12% for Aurora.
- Where and when is Cobán Imperial vs Aurora played?
- Cobán Imperial vs Aurora is played on September 27, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Verapaz Jose Angel Rossi, in the Liga Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.