Where and when is Colonia Moscardó vs Unión Adarve played?

Colonia Moscardó vs Unión Adarve is played on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Román Valero, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Colonia Moscardó vs Unión Adarve: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Román Valero, Madrid

Colonia Moscardó

Unión Adarve

The Footlab model makes Unión Adarve the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Colonia Moscardó. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Colonia Moscardó vs Unión Adarve?

A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Colonia Moscardó (1,765) and Unión Adarve (1,796).

Colonia Moscardó win36 %

Draw27 %

Unión Adarve win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colonia Moscardó have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Unión Adarve have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Colonia Moscardó
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Intercity(away)	0-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026	Navalcarnero(home)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 14, 2026	Real Madrid III(away)	0-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 11, 2026	Orihuela(home)	1-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 5, 2026	Getafe II(away)	2-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

Unión Adarve
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Racing Madrid(home)	5-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026	Las Rozas(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026	Galapagar(home)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026	Villaverde-Boetticher(home)	3-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 11, 2026	A Madrid III(away)	0-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Colonia Moscardó win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Unión Adarve win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 2, 2025	Unión Adarve 1-1 Colonia Moscardó	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 21, 2024	Colonia Moscardó 2-0 Unión Adarve	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

Last archived meeting: Unión Adarve vs Colonia Moscardó on Feb 2, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Colonia Moscardó score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Unión Adarve score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Colonia Moscardó	1.1	1.3	5	5/15	8/15
Unión Adarve	1.8	1.1	6	6/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Unión Adarve	34	15	8	11	48	42	53

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Colonia Moscardó vs Unión Adarve?: The Footlab model makes Unión Adarve the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Colonia Moscardó.
Where and when is Colonia Moscardó vs Unión Adarve played?: Colonia Moscardó vs Unión Adarve is played on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Román Valero, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.