Where and when is Unión Adarve vs Alcobendas Sport played?

Unión Adarve vs Alcobendas Sport is played on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Centro Deportivo Municipal Vicente del Bosque, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Unión Adarve vs Alcobendas Sport: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Centro Deportivo Municipal Vicente del Bosque, Madrid

Unión Adarve

Alcobendas Sport

The Footlab model makes Unión Adarve the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Alcobendas Sport. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Unión Adarve vs Alcobendas Sport?

A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Unión Adarve (1,799) and Alcobendas Sport (1,718).

Unión Adarve win49 %

Draw25 %

Alcobendas Sport win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unión Adarve have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Alcobendas Sport have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Unión Adarve
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Racing Madrid(home)	5-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026	Las Rozas(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026	Galapagar(home)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026	Villaverde-Boetticher(home)	3-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 11, 2026	A Madrid III(away)	0-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Alcobendas Sport
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Leganés II(away)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026	Trival Valderas(home)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026	Torrejón(away)	3-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 18, 2026	AD Parla(home)	2-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 11, 2026	Alcorcón II(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Unión Adarve win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Alcobendas Sport win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 14, 2026	Alcobendas Sport 1-0 Unión Adarve	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 5, 2025	Unión Adarve 2-2 Alcobendas Sport	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Mar 10, 2021	Alcobendas Sport 2-2 Unión Adarve	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 18, 2020	Unión Adarve 1-1 Alcobendas Sport	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Dec 1, 2019	Unión Adarve 3-4 Alcobendas Sport	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Alcobendas Sport vs Unión Adarve on Feb 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Unión Adarve score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Alcobendas Sport score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Unión Adarve	1.8	1.1	6	6/15	9/15
Alcobendas Sport	1.2	1.4	3	9/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Unión Adarve sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (53 points from 34 matches) and Alcobendas Sport sit 11th (45 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Unión Adarve	34	15	8	11	48	42	53
11	Alcobendas Sport	34	12	10	13	45	49	45

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Unión Adarve vs Alcobendas Sport?: The Footlab model makes Unión Adarve the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Alcobendas Sport.
Where and when is Unión Adarve vs Alcobendas Sport played?: Unión Adarve vs Alcobendas Sport is played on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Centro Deportivo Municipal Vicente del Bosque, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.