Where and when is Galapagar vs Real Aranjuez played?

Galapagar vs Real Aranjuez is played on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Galapagar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Galapagar vs Real Aranjuez: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Galapagar, Madrid

Galapagar

Real Aranjuez

The Footlab model makes Galapagar the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Real Aranjuez. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Galapagar vs Real Aranjuez?

Galapagar starts as the favourite with a 183-point Elo edge (1,723 vs 1,540).

Galapagar win42 %

Draw27 %

Real Aranjuez win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Galapagar have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Real Aranjuez have 2, 2 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Galapagar
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Las Rozas(home)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026	AD Parla(away)	5-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026	Unión Adarve(away)	1-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026	Alcorcón II(home)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 12, 2026	Villaverde-Boetticher(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Real Aranjuez
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 23, 2023	Madrid 2021 FP(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 16, 2023	RSC Internacional(home)	0-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 6, 2023	Trival Valderas(home)	1-5	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 2, 2023	Rayo Vallecano II(away)	0-6	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Mar 26, 2023	Galapagar(home)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Galapagar win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Real Aranjuez win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 26, 2023	Real Aranjuez 0-2 Galapagar	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Nov 27, 2022	Galapagar 3-1 Real Aranjuez	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Real Aranjuez vs Galapagar on Mar 26, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Galapagar score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Real Aranjuez score 0.6 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Galapagar	1.5	1.3	3	10/15	7/15
Real Aranjuez	0.6	2.2	4	4/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Galapagar	34	11	13	10	42	47	46

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Galapagar vs Real Aranjuez?: The Footlab model makes Galapagar the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Real Aranjuez.
Where and when is Galapagar vs Real Aranjuez played?: Galapagar vs Real Aranjuez is played on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Galapagar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.