Match

Galapagar vs Real Aranjuez: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Galapagar, Madrid

GalapagarReal Aranjuez

The Footlab AI model makes Galapagar the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Real Aranjuez. The most likely score is 1-1. If Galapagar wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,606 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Galapagar vs Real Aranjuez?

Galapagar starts as the favourite with a 185-point Elo edge (1,740 vs 1,555).

44%23%33%
Galapagar winDrawReal Aranjuez win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Galapagar vs Real Aranjuez

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Galapagar

Not enough data to predict the Galapagar lineup.

Real Aranjuez

4-3-3
  1. CChiki
  2. JJuanito Díaz
  3. IIván Morcillo
  1. AAitor Carrillo
  2. CCarlitos Monzón
  3. CChanque
  1. JJuanlu
  2. MMario Jimeno
  3. GG. Spasov
  4. VVíctor Cartas
  1. TT. Robu

Computed on October 17, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Galapagar have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Real Aranjuez have 1, 4 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Galapagar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Leganés II(away)3-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 4, 2026Cala Pozuelo(home)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 27, 2026Rayo Vallecano II(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 20, 2026Las Rozas(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 12, 2026Real Aranjuez(away)5-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Real Aranjuez
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Alcobendas Sport(away)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 10, 2026Colonia Moscardó(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 4, 2026SS Reyes II(away)5-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 26, 2026Trival Valderas(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 20, 2026RC Alcobendas(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Galapagar wins, 0 draws, 0 Real Aranjuez wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 12, 2026Real Aranjuez 2-5 GalapagarTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Mar 26, 2023Real Aranjuez 0-2 GalapagarTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Nov 27, 2022Galapagar 3-1 Real AranjuezTercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Real Aranjuez vs Galapagar on Sep 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Galapagar score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Real Aranjuez score 1.1 and concede 2.8. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Galapagar1.91.6112/159/15
Real Aranjuez1.12.819/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Galapagar sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (11 points from 6 matches) and Real Aranjuez sit 15th (5 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Galapagar6321131011
15Real Aranjuez612310145

A question about Galapagar vs Real Aranjuez?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Galapagar vs Real Aranjuez?
The Footlab AI model makes Galapagar the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Real Aranjuez.
Where and when is Galapagar vs Real Aranjuez played?
Galapagar vs Real Aranjuez is played on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Galapagar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Galapagar and Real Aranjuez

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