Match

AC Milan vs Cagliari: prediction and stats

Serie ARegular Season - 27Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano

AC MilanCagliari

The Footlab AI model makes AC Milan the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Cagliari. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win AC Milan vs Cagliari?

AC Milan starts as the favourite with a 158-point Elo edge (2,065 vs 1,907).

60%24%16%
AC Milan winDrawCagliari win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for AC Milan vs Cagliari

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

AC Milan

3-4-2-1
  1. 9Gonçalo Ramos
  1. 21S. Chukwueze
  2. 2P. Estupiñán
  3. 12A. Rabiot
  4. 80Y. Musah
  5. 22Diego Moreira
  6. 14L. Modrić
  1. 31S. Pavlović
  2. 34Mario Gila
  3. 5K. De Winter
  1. 16M. Maignan

Cagliari

4-3-2-1
  1. 31P. Mendy
  1. 6H. Winks
  2. 8M. Adopo
  3. 4A. Romano
  4. 70D. Maldini
  5. 79Y. Massolin
  1. 15J. Rodríguez
  2. 2Zé Pedro
  3. 33A. Obert
  4. 26Y. Mina
  1. 1E. Caprile

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 04:01 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AC Milan have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Cagliari have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

AC Milan
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Sassuolo(away)1-1Serie A
Sep 20, 2026Lecce(home)3-0Serie A
Sep 16, 2026Benfica(home)0-2UEFA Europa League
Sep 12, 2026Lazio(away)2-2Serie A
Sep 6, 2026Juventus(away)1-1Serie A
Cagliari
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Juventus(home)1-1Serie A
Sep 19, 2026Udinese(away)1-0Serie A
Sep 12, 2026Atalanta(away)2-1Serie A
Sep 7, 2026Lecce(home)1-0Serie A
Sep 3, 2026Hellas Verona(home)1-2Coppa Italia

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 AC Milan wins, 2 draws, 1 Cagliari win.

DateScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026AC Milan 1-2 CagliariSerie A
Jan 2, 2026Cagliari 0-1 AC MilanSerie A
Jan 11, 2025AC Milan 1-1 CagliariSerie A
Nov 9, 2024Cagliari 3-3 AC MilanSerie A
May 11, 2024AC Milan 5-1 CagliariSerie A
Jan 2, 2024AC Milan 4-1 CagliariCoppa Italia

Last archived meeting: AC Milan vs Cagliari on May 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

AC Milan score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Cagliari score 1.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
AC Milan1.51.5210/159/15
Cagliari1.00.776/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

AC Milan sit 5th in Serie A (12 points from 6 matches) and Cagliari sit 4th (13 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Cagliari64116313
5AC Milan633011512

A question about AC Milan vs Cagliari?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for AC Milan vs Cagliari?
The Footlab AI model makes AC Milan the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Cagliari.
Where and when is AC Milan vs Cagliari played?
AC Milan vs Cagliari is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, in the Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: AC Milan and Cagliari

Ready to know everything about football?