Como vs Parma: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como
The Footlab model makes Como the favourite at 71%, against 20% for a draw and 9% for Parma. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 19, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Como vs Parma?
Como starts as the favourite with a 231-point Elo edge (2,236 vs 2,005).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Como have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Parma have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Arsenal(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Famalicao(away) | 3-2 | Como Cup |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Villarreal(away) | 1-1 | Como Cup |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Al Ula(home) | 3-1 | Como Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Catania(home) | 2-0 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sampdoria(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Iraklis 1908(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Arezzo(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Sassuolo(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Como win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Parma win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Como 1-0 Parma | Serie A |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Parma 0-0 Como | Serie A |
| May 3, 2025 | Parma 0-1 Como | Serie A |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Como 1-1 Parma | Serie A |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Como 1-1 Parma | Serie B |
| Oct 20, 2023 | Parma 2-1 Como | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Como score 1.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Parma score 0.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Como | 1.8 | 1.0 | 7 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Parma | 0.8 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Como sit 4th in Serie A (71 points from 38 matches) and Parma sit 13th (45 points from 38 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Como | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 29 | 71 |
| 13 | Parma | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 28 | 46 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Como vs Parma?
- The Footlab model makes Como the favourite at 71%, against 20% for a draw and 9% for Parma.
- Where and when is Como vs Parma played?
- Como vs Parma is played on September 13, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.