Conegliano vs FC Obermais: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone CGroup C - 4Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Conegliano the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for FC Obermais. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Conegliano vs FC Obermais?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Conegliano (1,766) and FC Obermais (1,703).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Conegliano have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; FC Obermais have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Altavilla(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 26, 2026 | FC Obermais(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Luparense(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Treviso(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Clodiense(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Vigasio(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
| May 10, 2026 | San Luigi(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| May 3, 2026 | San Luigi(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Conegliano(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Altavilla(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Conegliano win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 FC Obermais win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | FC Obermais 1-1 Conegliano | Serie D - Girone C |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Conegliano 0-0 FC Obermais | Serie D - Girone C |
Last archived meeting: FC Obermais vs Conegliano on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Conegliano score 1.4 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; FC Obermais score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conegliano | 1.4 | 0.6 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| FC Obermais | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Conegliano sit 9th in Serie D - Girone C (50 points from 34 matches) and FC Obermais sit 15th (37 points from 35 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Conegliano | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 36 | 28 | 50 |
| 15 | FC Obermais | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 47 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Conegliano vs FC Obermais?
- The Footlab model makes Conegliano the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for FC Obermais.
- Where and when is Conegliano vs FC Obermais played?
- Conegliano vs FC Obermais is played on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.