Legnago Salus vs Calvi Noale: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone CGroup C - 4Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Mario Sandrini, Legnago
The Footlab model makes Legnago Salus the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Calvi Noale. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Legnago Salus vs Calvi Noale?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Legnago Salus (1,806) and Calvi Noale (1,723).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Legnago Salus have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Calvi Noale have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | Mantova(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 25, 2026 | Clodiense(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
| May 17, 2026 | Mestre(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| May 17, 2026 | Este(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| May 3, 2026 | Vigasio(away) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Bassano Virtus(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Campodarsego(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Portogruaro(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Adriese(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Este(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Legnago Salus win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Calvi Noale win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Legnago Salus 1-4 Calvi Noale | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Calvi Noale 1-2 Legnago Salus | Serie D - Girone C |
Last archived meeting: Legnago Salus vs Calvi Noale on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Legnago Salus score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Calvi Noale score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Legnago Salus | 1.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Calvi Noale | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Legnago Salus sit 2nd in Serie D - Girone C (61 points from 34 matches) and Calvi Noale sit 12th (44 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Legnago Salus | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 63 | 41 | 61 |
| 12 | Calvi Noale | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 38 | 40 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Legnago Salus vs Calvi Noale?
- The Footlab model makes Legnago Salus the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Calvi Noale.
- Where and when is Legnago Salus vs Calvi Noale played?
- Legnago Salus vs Calvi Noale is played on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Mario Sandrini, in the Serie D - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.