Mestre vs Altavilla: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone CGroup C - 4Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Francesco Baracca, Mestre
The Footlab model calls this one tight: 34% for Mestre, 36% for a draw, 30% for Altavilla. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mestre vs Altavilla?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Mestre (1,766) and Altavilla (1,735).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mestre have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Altavilla have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Legnago Salus(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
| May 3, 2026 | Treviso(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Altavilla(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Legnago Salus(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Luparense(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Conegliano(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Mestre(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 19, 2026 | FC Obermais(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 12, 2026 | San Luigi(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Treviso(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Mestre win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Altavilla win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Altavilla 1-0 Mestre | Serie D - Girone C |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Mestre 1-1 Altavilla | Serie D - Girone C |
How many goals should we expect?
Mestre score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Altavilla score 0.8 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 23% probability of over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mestre | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Altavilla | 0.8 | 0.6 | 8 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mestre sit 6th in Serie D - Girone C (55 points from 34 matches) and Altavilla sit 11th (46 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mestre | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 37 | 29 | 55 |
| 11 | Altavilla | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 28 | 24 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mestre vs Altavilla?
- The Footlab model calls this one tight: 34% for Mestre, 36% for a draw, 30% for Altavilla.
- Where and when is Mestre vs Altavilla played?
- Mestre vs Altavilla is played on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Francesco Baracca, in the Serie D - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 23% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.