Confiança vs Fortaleza EC: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie CRegular Season - 7Kick-off on July 11, 2015 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Estadual Lourival Baptista, Aracaju, Sergipe
Full time
What was the result of Confiança vs Fortaleza EC?
Confiança won 1-0 on July 11, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 14′Almir Nogueira DiasConfiança
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Confiança have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Fortaleza EC have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 6, 2015 | Vila Nova(home) | 0-0 | Serie C |
| Jun 28, 2015 | Icasa(away) | 3-2 | Serie C |
| Jun 7, 2015 | Águia de Marabá(home) | 1-1 | Serie C |
| May 30, 2015 | Botafogo PB(away) | 1-2 | Serie C |
| May 24, 2015 | Cuiaba(away) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2015 | America-RN(home) | 1-0 | Serie C |
| Jun 28, 2015 | Salgueiro(away) | 1-0 | Serie C |
| Jun 7, 2015 | ASA(home) | 1-1 | Serie C |
| Jun 1, 2015 | Cuiaba(away) | 3-1 | Serie C |
| May 23, 2015 | Vila Nova(home) | 3-2 | Serie C |
How many goals should we expect?
Confiança score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Fortaleza EC score 1.5 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Confiança | 1.1 | 0.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 3/15 |
| Fortaleza EC | 1.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Confiança | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 20 | 13 |
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy