Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza EC: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 35Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Moisés Lucarelli, Campinas, São Paulo
The Footlab AI model makes Fortaleza EC the favourite at 62%, against 24% for a draw and 14% for Ponte Preta. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,938 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza EC?
Fortaleza EC is a heavy favourite: 1,822 Elo points against 1,478, a 344-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza EC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ponte Preta
4-1-4-1- 9Brandão
- 5Rodrigo Souza
- 18David da Hora
- 6Juan
- 35Gustavo Lopes
- 8Karl
- 23S. Palacios
- 14Danilo Barcelos
- 44Gustavo Almeida
- 2Julio
- 30Vinicius
Fortaleza EC
4-3-3- 32Luiz Fernando
- 21J. Cantillo
- 16Pedro Henrique
- 5Pierre
- 75Rodriguinho
- 88Lucas Sasha
- 6T. Cardona
- 22Maílton
- 3Lucas Gazal
- 23Neris
- 1João Ricardo
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 10:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ponte Preta have 1 win, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Fortaleza EC have 7, 8 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Atletico Goianiense(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Novorizontino(away) | 1-5 | Serie B |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Juventude(home) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cuiaba(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Botafogo SP(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Sport Recife(away) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 12, 2026 | CRB(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 7, 2026 | America Mineiro(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Nautico Recife(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Athletic Club(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Ponte Preta win, 1 draw, 1 Fortaleza EC win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 2026 | Fortaleza EC 2-0 Ponte Preta | Serie B |
| Oct 26, 2018 | Fortaleza EC 1-1 Ponte Preta | Serie B |
| Jul 8, 2018 | Ponte Preta 2-0 Fortaleza EC | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Fortaleza EC vs Ponte Preta on Jul 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ponte Preta score 0.3 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Fortaleza EC score 1.4 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ponte Preta | 0.3 | 2.4 | 1 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Fortaleza EC | 1.4 | 0.8 | 6 | 9/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ponte Preta sit 20th in Serie B (14 points from 34 matches) and Fortaleza EC sit 4th (60 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fortaleza EC | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 41 | 29 | 60 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 19 | 74 | 14 |
A question about Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza EC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza EC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fortaleza EC the favourite at 62%, against 24% for a draw and 14% for Ponte Preta.
- Where and when is Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza EC played?
- Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza EC is played on October 24, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC) at Estádio Moisés Lucarelli, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.