Công An Nhân Dân vs Thanh Hóa: prediction and stats
V.League 1Regular Season - 5Kick-off on October 22, 2026 at 12:15 PM (UTC)Sân vận động Hàng Đẫy (Hang Day Stadium), Hanoi
The Footlab AI model makes Công An Nhân Dân the favourite at 78%, against 15% for a draw and 7% for Thanh Hóa. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Công An Nhân Dân vs Thanh Hóa?
Công An Nhân Dân is a heavy favourite: 1,926 Elo points against 1,615, a 311-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Công An Nhân Dân vs Thanh Hóa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Công An Nhân Dân
4-1-3-2- 10Léo Artur
- 72Alan Grafite
- 19Nguyễn Quang Hải
- 11Lê Phạm Thành Long
- 6S. Mauk
- 88Lê Văn Đô
- 7J. Pendant
- 38A. Leygley
- 55Frans Putros
- 12Hoang Van Toan
- 1F. Nguyen
Thanh Hóa
4-3-3- 17Nguyen Van Tung
- 98Matheus Martins
- 9S. Guindo
- 77O. Abdurakhmanov
- 35D. Lovrić
- 22D. Thongkhamsavath
- 14Nam Truong Thanh
- 15Trinh Van Loi
- 16Nguyen Dinh Huyen
- 6Huynh Minh Doan
- 30Nie Y Eli
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 07:49 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Công An Nhân Dân have 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Thanh Hóa have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ha Noi(home) | 1-2 | V.League 1 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Kashima(home) | 0-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Home United(away) | 1-0 | ASEAN Club Championship |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bình Phước(away) | 3-0 | V.League 1 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(away) | 1-4 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Nam Dinh(home) | 0-2 | V.League 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hai Phong(away) | 2-1 | V.League 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Binh Duong(home) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Phu Dong(away) | 1-2 | V.League 1 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Da Nang(home) | 3-2 | V.League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Công An Nhân Dân wins, 0 draws, 1 Thanh Hóa win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Công An Nhân Dân 2-0 Thanh Hóa | V.League 1 |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Thanh Hóa 1-3 Công An Nhân Dân | V.League 1 |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Thanh Hóa 1-4 Công An Nhân Dân | V.League 1 |
| Sep 20, 2024 | Công An Nhân Dân 0-1 Thanh Hóa | V.League 1 |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Thanh Hóa 0-2 Công An Nhân Dân | V.League 1 |
| Feb 27, 2024 | Công An Nhân Dân 3-1 Thanh Hóa | V.League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Công An Nhân Dân vs Thanh Hóa on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Công An Nhân Dân score 1.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Thanh Hóa score 1.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Công An Nhân Dân | 1.7 | 0.8 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Thanh Hóa | 1.0 | 1.4 | 3 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Công An Nhân Dân sit 2nd in V.League 1 (9 points from 4 matches) and Thanh Hóa sit 8th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Công An Nhân Dân | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Thanh Hóa | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
A question about Công An Nhân Dân vs Thanh Hóa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Công An Nhân Dân vs Thanh Hóa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Công An Nhân Dân the favourite at 78%, against 15% for a draw and 7% for Thanh Hóa.
- Where and when is Công An Nhân Dân vs Thanh Hóa played?
- Công An Nhân Dân vs Thanh Hóa is played on October 22, 2026 at 12:15 PM (UTC) at Sân vận động Hàng Đẫy (Hang Day Stadium), in the V.League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.