Phu Dong vs Ho Chi Minh: prediction and stats
V.League 1Regular Season - 5Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Sân vận động Ninh Bình (Ninh Binh Stadium), Ninh Bình
The Footlab AI model makes Phu Dong the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Ho Chi Minh. The most likely score is 1-1. If Phu Dong wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Phu Dong vs Ho Chi Minh?
Phu Dong starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (1,846 vs 1,712).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Phu Dong vs Ho Chi Minh
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Phu Dong
4-3-3- 5F. Friday
- 99Nguyễn Quốc Việt
- 9Lucão do Break
- 7Nguyễn Đức Chiến
- 2Hoang Thai Binh
- 66T. A. Truong
- 96Lucas Turci
- 18Pham Gia Hung
- 17Le Ngoc Bao
- 6Do Thanh Thinh
- 1Đặng Văn Lâm
Ho Chi Minh
4-3-3- 7M. Olaha
- 9J. Cummings
- 58K. Yamga
- 19Q. C. Nguyen Thai
- 22Nguyễn Tiến Linh
- 33Lee Williams
- 13Khong Minh Gia
- 27Nguyễn Nhật Minh
- 34Le Quang Hung
- 5Q. K. Dinh
- 89P. Lê Giang
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 03:33 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Phu Dong have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Ho Chi Minh have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Hoang Anh Gia Lai(home) | 4-3 | V.League 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Nam Dinh(away) | 1-1 | V.League 1 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Thanh Hóa(home) | 2-1 | V.League 1 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Hai Phong(away) | 4-1 | V.League 1 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Ho Chi Minh(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | Viettel(home) | 1-0 | V.League 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Binh Duong(home) | 1-2 | V.League 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Song Lam Nghe An(away) | 1-1 | V.League 1 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Ratchaburi(away) | 1-1 | ASEAN Club Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Văn Hiến(home) | 0-1 | V.League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Phu Dong win, 2 draws, 1 Ho Chi Minh win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2026 | Phu Dong 1-2 Ho Chi Minh | Cup |
| May 23, 2026 | Phu Dong 1-1 Ho Chi Minh | V.League 1 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Ho Chi Minh 3-4 Phu Dong | V.League 1 |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Ho Chi Minh 0-0 Phu Dong | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Phu Dong vs Ho Chi Minh on Jun 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Phu Dong score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ho Chi Minh score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phu Dong | 2.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Ho Chi Minh | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Phu Dong sit 1st in V.League 1 (10 points from 4 matches) and Ho Chi Minh sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Phu Dong | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 10 |
| 5 | Ho Chi Minh | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
A question about Phu Dong vs Ho Chi Minh?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Phu Dong vs Ho Chi Minh?
- The Footlab AI model makes Phu Dong the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Ho Chi Minh.
- Where and when is Phu Dong vs Ho Chi Minh played?
- Phu Dong vs Ho Chi Minh is played on October 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Sân vận động Ninh Bình (Ninh Binh Stadium), in the V.League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.