Match

Connecticut FC vs New York RB II: prediction and stats

MLS Next ProGroup StageKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)

Connecticut FCNew York RB II

The Footlab model makes Connecticut FC the favourite at 51%, against 21% for a draw and 28% for New York RB II. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Connecticut FC vs New York RB II?

A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Connecticut FC (1,710) and New York RB II (1,703).

Connecticut FC win51 %
Draw21 %
New York RB II win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Connecticut FC have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; New York RB II have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Connecticut FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Philadelphia Union II(away)4-2MLS Next Pro
Aug 19, 2026Crown Legacy(away)2-0MLS Next Pro
Aug 16, 2026FC Cincinnati II(away)3-2MLS Next Pro
Aug 9, 2026New England II(home)1-2MLS Next Pro
Aug 1, 2026Orlando City II(home)4-2MLS Next Pro
New York RB II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Toronto II(home)5-1MLS Next Pro
Aug 14, 2026Atlanta United II(away)2-1MLS Next Pro
Aug 8, 2026Columbus Crew II(away)2-1MLS Next Pro
Aug 2, 2026New England II(home)1-4MLS Next Pro
Jul 24, 2026Crown Legacy(home)0-3MLS Next Pro

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Connecticut FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 New York RB II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 19, 2026Connecticut FC 2-1 New York RB IIMLS Next Pro
May 24, 2026New York RB II 1-3 Connecticut FCMLS Next Pro

Last archived meeting: Connecticut FC vs New York RB II on Jul 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Connecticut FC score 2.6 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; New York RB II score 1.9 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Connecticut FC2.61.6213/1514/15
New York RB II1.92.0210/1514/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Connecticut FC sit 3rd in MLS Next Pro (43 points from 24 matches) and New York RB II sit 6th (41 points from 24 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Connecticut FC241509494143
3Connecticut FC241509494143
4New York RB II2413011503941
5New York RB II2312011453838
6New York RB II2413011503941
7Connecticut FC221309433937

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Connecticut FC vs New York RB II?
The Footlab model makes Connecticut FC the favourite at 51%, against 21% for a draw and 28% for New York RB II.
Where and when is Connecticut FC vs New York RB II played?
Connecticut FC vs New York RB II is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC), in the MLS Next Pro.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Connecticut FC and New York RB II

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