Connecticut FC vs New York RB II: prediction and stats
MLS Next ProGroup StageKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Connecticut FC the favourite at 51%, against 21% for a draw and 28% for New York RB II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Connecticut FC vs New York RB II?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Connecticut FC (1,710) and New York RB II (1,703).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Connecticut FC have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; New York RB II have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Philadelphia Union II(away) | 4-2 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Crown Legacy(away) | 2-0 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Cincinnati II(away) | 3-2 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 9, 2026 | New England II(home) | 1-2 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Orlando City II(home) | 4-2 | MLS Next Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Toronto II(home) | 5-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Atlanta United II(away) | 2-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Columbus Crew II(away) | 2-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 2, 2026 | New England II(home) | 1-4 | MLS Next Pro |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Crown Legacy(home) | 0-3 | MLS Next Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Connecticut FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 New York RB II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2026 | Connecticut FC 2-1 New York RB II | MLS Next Pro |
| May 24, 2026 | New York RB II 1-3 Connecticut FC | MLS Next Pro |
Last archived meeting: Connecticut FC vs New York RB II on Jul 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Connecticut FC score 2.6 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; New York RB II score 1.9 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut FC | 2.6 | 1.6 | 2 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
| New York RB II | 1.9 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Connecticut FC sit 3rd in MLS Next Pro (43 points from 24 matches) and New York RB II sit 6th (41 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Connecticut FC | 24 | 15 | 0 | 9 | 49 | 41 | 43 |
| 3 | Connecticut FC | 24 | 15 | 0 | 9 | 49 | 41 | 43 |
| 4 | New York RB II | 24 | 13 | 0 | 11 | 50 | 39 | 41 |
| 5 | New York RB II | 23 | 12 | 0 | 11 | 45 | 38 | 38 |
| 6 | New York RB II | 24 | 13 | 0 | 11 | 50 | 39 | 41 |
| 7 | Connecticut FC | 22 | 13 | 0 | 9 | 43 | 39 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Connecticut FC vs New York RB II?
- The Footlab model makes Connecticut FC the favourite at 51%, against 21% for a draw and 28% for New York RB II.
- Where and when is Connecticut FC vs New York RB II played?
- Connecticut FC vs New York RB II is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC), in the MLS Next Pro.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 28, 2026Inter Miami II1-1Chicago Fire II
- Feb 28, 2026Philadelphia Union II1-0Toronto II
- Feb 28, 2026St. Louis City II4-0Sporting KC II
- Mar 1, 2026Chattanooga1-4Crown Legacy
- Mar 1, 2026Portland Timbers II2-1The Town
- Mar 1, 2026New York RB II4-2Columbus Crew II
- Mar 1, 2026Real Monarchs2-2North Texas
- Mar 1, 2026FC Cincinnati II1-3Connecticut FC