Match

New York City II vs New York RB II: prediction and stats

MLS Next ProGroup StageKick-off on September 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Belson Stadium at St John's University

New York City IINew York RB II

The Footlab model makes New York City II the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for New York RB II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win New York City II vs New York RB II?

A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate New York City II (1,665) and New York RB II (1,703).

New York City II win49 %
Draw22 %
New York RB II win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, New York City II have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; New York RB II have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

New York City II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026New England II(home)2-1MLS Next Pro
Aug 19, 2026FC Cincinnati II(home)5-0MLS Next Pro
Aug 15, 2026Columbus Crew II(away)2-4MLS Next Pro
Aug 11, 2026Orlando City II(home)3-0MLS Next Pro
Aug 1, 2026Philadelphia Union II(home)1-1MLS Next Pro
New York RB II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Toronto II(home)5-1MLS Next Pro
Aug 14, 2026Atlanta United II(away)2-1MLS Next Pro
Aug 8, 2026Columbus Crew II(away)2-1MLS Next Pro
Aug 2, 2026New England II(home)1-4MLS Next Pro
Jul 24, 2026Crown Legacy(home)0-3MLS Next Pro

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 New York City II win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 New York RB II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 17, 2026New York RB II 2-3 New York City IIMLS Next Pro
Mar 15, 2026New York City II 1-1 New York RB IIMLS Next Pro
Jul 20, 2025New York RB II 4-2 New York City IIMLS Next Pro
May 9, 2025New York City II 5-2 New York RB IIMLS Next Pro
Mar 30, 2025New York RB II 3-2 New York City IIMLS Next Pro
Aug 11, 2024New York RB II 1-1 New York City IIMLS Next Pro

Last archived meeting: New York RB II vs New York City II on May 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

New York City II score 2.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; New York RB II score 1.9 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
New York City II2.31.459/1511/15
New York RB II1.92.0210/1514/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

New York City II sit 8th in MLS Next Pro (39 points from 23 matches) and New York RB II sit 6th (41 points from 24 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4New York RB II2413011503941
5New York RB II2312011453838
5New York City II2313010423539
6New York RB II2413011503941
8New York City II2313010423539
10New York City II2111010353433

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for New York City II vs New York RB II?
The Footlab model makes New York City II the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for New York RB II.
Where and when is New York City II vs New York RB II played?
New York City II vs New York RB II is played on September 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Belson Stadium at St John's University, in the MLS Next Pro.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: New York City II and New York RB II

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