A Madrid III vs Navalcarnero: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Cerro del Espino Campo Artificial, Majadahonda
The Footlab AI model makes A Madrid III the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Navalcarnero. The most likely score is 1-1. If A Madrid III wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,075 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win A Madrid III vs Navalcarnero?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate A Madrid III (1,901) and Navalcarnero (1,938).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for A Madrid III vs Navalcarnero
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
A Madrid III
Not enough data to predict the A Madrid III lineup.
Navalcarnero
4-3-3- 11M. Jimenez
- 9Vizuete Perez Jaime
- 24A. Altube Suarez
- 14Javi Bueno
- 21I. Perera
- 15J. Cruz
- 6R. de Souza
- 5A. Espinola
- 3Juanmi
- 19A. Aunon
- 1A. Calado
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 04:57 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, A Madrid III have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Navalcarnero have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Navalcarnero(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Conquense(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Real Madrid III(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Atlético Paso(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Salamanca UDS(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva(away) | 2-2 | Copa Federacion |
| Oct 11, 2026 | A Madrid III(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Real Murcia(home) | 3-1 | Copa Federacion |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 A Madrid III wins, 1 draw, 0 Navalcarnero wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Navalcarnero 1-1 A Madrid III | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Navalcarnero vs A Madrid III on Oct 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
A Madrid III score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Navalcarnero score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Madrid III | 1.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Navalcarnero | 1.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
A Madrid III sit 2nd in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (14 points from 7 matches) and Navalcarnero sit 11th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | A Madrid III | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 14 |
| 11 | Navalcarnero | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
A question about A Madrid III vs Navalcarnero?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for A Madrid III vs Navalcarnero?
- The Footlab AI model makes A Madrid III the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Navalcarnero.
- Where and when is A Madrid III vs Navalcarnero played?
- A Madrid III vs Navalcarnero is played on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Cerro del Espino Campo Artificial, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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